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South West

West Devon

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Rebecca Smith
Rebecca SmithConservative · South West Devon

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping West Devon.

1 people on asylum support in West Devon

Rank 346 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.17 per 10,000 puts West Devon in the 8th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 1 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.0M a year.

What asylum costs West Devon

£23Kestimated hotel costs/year
£3Ksubsistence payments/year
£1KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1 people on asylum support in West Devon(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

West Devon: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1
3210Mar 2017Dec 2025Peak Mar 2017
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20173
Jun 20173
Sept 20173
Dec 20173
Mar 20183
Jun 20183
Sept 20183
Dec 20183
Mar 20193
Jun 20193
Sept 20193
Dec 20193
Mar 20203
Jun 20203
Sept 20203
Dec 20203
Mar 20213
Dec 20251

Trend

-2Latest quarter change
-2Change across series
18Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1
Homes for Ukraine
226
Afghan programme
23
Resettlement cumulative
22

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine226
Afghan programme23
Resettlement cumulative22

Population context

All pathways total250
Share of local population0.42%

Ethnic composition projection

West Devon: White British 94.9% (2021) to 67.8% (2051).

Ethnic composition: West Devon

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 68% in 2051White Other 10% in 2051Asian 10% in 2051Black 6% in 2051Mixed 3% in 2051Other 4% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: West Devon

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
95%
2026proj
92%
2031proj
88%
2036proj
83%
2041proj
78%
2046proj
73%
8%
9%
2051proj
68%
10%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in West Devon ranges from38.2% to 69.0%by 2051. That is a 30.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 47.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.3% (2021) → 0.4% (2051). Christian 53.8% → 13.3%.

Religion: West Devon

829496990%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 85% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.15). 98.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: West Devon

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 69% in 2051Foreign-born 32% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.9% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black15.3% internal, 8.1% international
other16.7% internal, 2.5% international
asian9.8% internal, 7.4% international
white other11.3% internal, 4.1% international
mixed12.9% internal, 1.3% international
white british8.8% internal, 0.3% international

Why West Devon is changing

-1.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6.2pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View West Devon on UK Demographics →