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East Midlands

West Lindsey

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Connor Rand
Mr Connor RandLabour · Altrincham and Sale West

62 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping West Lindsey.

64 people on asylum support in West Lindsey

Rank 218 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 6.42 per 10,000 puts West Lindsey in the 50th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. Accommodation and support for 64 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.5M a year.

What asylum costs West Lindsey

£1.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£164Ksubsistence payments/year
£77KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 64 people on asylum support in West Lindsey(0.07% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

West Lindsey: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

41
4127140Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20142
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Jun 20161
Sept 20161
Dec 20161
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 20231
Sept 20231
Dec 20233
Mar 20248
Jun 202411
Sept 202418
Dec 202426
Mar 202536
Jun 202539
Sept 202539
Dec 202541

Trend

+2Latest quarter change
+40Change across series
33Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation64
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
64
Homes for Ukraine
183
Afghan programme
35
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine183
Afghan programme35
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total282
Share of local population0.28%

Ethnic composition projection

West Lindsey: White British 94.5% (2021) to 87.6% (2051).

Ethnic composition: West Lindsey

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 82% in 2061White Other 7% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: West Lindsey

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
95%
2031proj
93%
2041proj
91%
2051proj
88%
2061proj
82%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in West Lindsey ranges from50.5% to 76.9%by 2051. That is a 26.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 59.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.4% (2021) → 0.8% (2051). Christian 58.0% → 11.1%.

Religion: West Lindsey

628497092%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.16). 98.4% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: West Lindsey

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 71% in 2051Foreign-born 29% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.9% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
other15.2% internal, 4.7% international
asian14% internal, 1.8% international
mixed14.8% internal, 1% international
white other11.8% internal, 3.1% international
black13.1% internal, 1.5% international
white british8.7% internal, 0.2% international

Why West Lindsey is changing

-1.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+5.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View West Lindsey on UK Demographics →