East Midlands

West Northamptonshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Lee Barron
Lee BarronLabour · Corby and East Northamptonshire

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping West Northamptonshire.

478 people on asylum support in West Northamptonshire

Rank 63 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 10.76 per 10,000 puts West Northamptonshire in the 63rd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2051. 30 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 271 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 478 people at £107 per person per day is about £18.7M a year.

What asylum costs West Northamptonshire

£10.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.2Msubsistence payments/year
£574KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 478 people on asylum support in West Northamptonshire(0.51% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. 3 known hotel sites in this area.

West Northamptonshire: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

479
4973311660Mar 2018Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201811
Jun 201811
Sept 201812
Dec 20185
Mar 20197
Jun 20197
Sept 20195
Dec 20195
Mar 20206
Jun 20207
Sept 20208
Dec 20208
Mar 20217
Jun 202113
Sept 202113
Dec 202111
Mar 202212
Jun 202214
Sept 202223
Dec 2022393
Mar 2023433
Jun 2023423
Sept 2023497
Dec 202350
Mar 202470
Jun 20244
Sept 20248
Dec 2024305
Mar 2025258
Jun 2025455
Sept 2025486
Dec 2025479

Trend

-7Latest quarter change
+468Change across series
32Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation177
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only30
Contingency accommodation271

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
478
Homes for Ukraine
1,237
Afghan programme
185
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,237
Afghan programme185
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total1,900
Share of local population0.43%

Ethnic composition projection

West Northamptonshire: White British 75.0% (2021) to 50.3% (2051). White British minority by ~2051.

Ethnic composition: West Northamptonshire

020406080% of populationCensus 2021White British 50% in 2051White Other 17% in 2051Asian 13% in 2051Black 9% in 2051Mixed 6% in 2051Other 5% in 20512021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: West Northamptonshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2021
75%
11%
2021
75%
11%
2026proj
71%
12%
2031proj
66%
14%
2036proj
62%
15%
9%
2041proj
58%
16%
11%
2046proj
54%
16%
12%
8%
2051proj
50%
17%
13%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in West Northamptonshire ranges from55.2% to 61.5%by 2051. That is a 6.3pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 57.9% by 2051