asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

West Oxfordshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Connor Rand
Mr Connor RandLabour · Altrincham and Sale West

62 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping West Oxfordshire.

6 people on asylum support in West Oxfordshire

Rank 321 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.49 per 10,000 puts West Oxfordshire in the 12th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 6 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.2M a year.

What asylum costs West Oxfordshire

£135Kestimated hotel costs/year
£15Ksubsistence payments/year
£7KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 6 people on asylum support in West Oxfordshire(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

West Oxfordshire: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

123
239159800Sept 2017Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20172
Dec 20172
Sept 20214
Dec 20214
Mar 20224
Jun 20225
Sept 20224
Dec 2022186
Mar 2023197
Jun 2023212
Sept 2023209
Dec 2023190
Mar 2024149
Jun 2024158
Sept 2024160
Dec 2024199
Mar 2025162
Jun 2025128
Sept 2025239
Dec 2025123

Trend

-116Latest quarter change
+121Change across series
20Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation3
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
6
Homes for Ukraine
500
Afghan programme
160
Resettlement cumulative
28

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine500
Afghan programme160
Resettlement cumulative28

Population context

All pathways total666
Share of local population0.55%

Ethnic composition projection

West Oxfordshire: White British 89.0% (2021) to 79.8% (2051). 80% CI: 79.5, 82.7%.

Ethnic composition: West Oxfordshire

024497398% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 75% in 2061White Other 10% in 2061Mixed 9% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: West Oxfordshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
89%
2031proj
87%
2041proj
84%
8%
2051proj
80%
9%
2061proj
75%
10%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in West Oxfordshire ranges from51.6% to 73.1%by 2051. That is a 21.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 59.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.4% (2051). Christian 54.7% → 13.4%.

Religion: West Oxfordshire

829496989%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

10.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.27). 96.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: West Oxfordshire

628507294%Census 2021UK-born 51% in 2051Foreign-born 49% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.8% moved within UK, 0.8% arrived from abroad
black24% internal, 3.3% international
other18.8% internal, 2.4% international
white other16.1% internal, 3.3% international
asian14.6% internal, 3.2% international
mixed13.7% internal, 1.7% international
white british10.2% internal, 0.5% international

Why West Oxfordshire is changing

-3.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+3.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View West Oxfordshire on UK Demographics →