Trend
+15 Latest quarter change
+206 Change across series
43 Official data points
Wiltshire
208 on asylum support. Rank 140 nationally, 8 in South West. Rate: 3.97 per 10,000 (38th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
2025-12-31 South West region
Summary
Wiltshire has 208 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 140 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 3.97 per 10,000 residents places it around the 38th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Wiltshire
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 204
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 4
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 1,727
Afghan programme 438
Resettlement cumulative 179
Population context
All pathways total 2,373
Share of local population 0.45%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Wiltshire: WBI 90.1% (2021) → 61.6% (2051). White British minority by ~2056. 80% CI: 63.2–68.4%.
Ethnic composition — Wiltshire
White British White Other Asian Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.4% (2051). Christian 53.4% → 12.8%.
Religion — Wiltshire
Christian No religion
Nativity
9.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.26). 96.5% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Wiltshire
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Wiltshire is changing
-3.3ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 61.8%
Mixed 70.6%
White Other 75.2%
Other 65.8%
Homeownership rate
White British 69.2%
Mixed 49.9%
White Other 49.7%
Other 35%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 33.6%
Mixed 37.1%
White Other 45.6%
Other 31.9%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 68,328 pupils. 82.8% White British. Schools are 7.3pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 82.8%
White Other 5.4%
Mixed 4.3%
Asian 3.5%
Black 2.8%
Other 1.2%
What this means
Schools are 7pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
17.2% Minority pupils now
31.1% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
208 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
3.97 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in South West by supported asylum.