South East

Winchester

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office · Corrections log
Dr Danny Chambers
Dr Danny ChambersLiberal Democrats · Winchester
67 people on asylum support in Winchester

Rank 212 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 4.9 per 10,000 puts Winchester in the 43rd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 4 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 67 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.6M a year.

What asylum costs Winchester

£1.5Mestimated hotel costs/year
£171Ksubsistence payments/year
£80KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 67 people on asylum support in Winchester(0.07% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

How many asylum seekers are in Winchester?

67 people were receiving Home Office asylum support in Winchester at 30 June 2026, the most recent quarter published. That ranks 212th of 361 UK local authorities. It counts people on support at that date, which is not the number who claimed asylum there and not the number waiting for a decision.

How many asylum seekers per 10,000 people are in Winchester?

4.9 per 10,000 residents, which places Winchester in the 43rd percentile of UK local authorities. It carries fewer per head than 57% of the country. Rate is the fair comparison between areas, because a large city carries more people than a small district at the same pressure per head.

Are there asylum hotels in Winchester?

Not on the published figures. Winchester recorded nobody in contingency accommodation at 30 June 2026, which is the category that includes hotels. The 67 people on asylum support there are recorded in dispersal housing or on subsistence-only support.

Who houses asylum seekers in Winchester?

Clearsprings Ready Homes holds the Home Office asylum accommodation contract for the region Winchester sits in, under the Asylum Accommodation and Support Contracts. The contract covers a whole region rather than a single council, and the Home Office does not publish a council-by-council split of which properties sit under it.

Are all of them in Home Office accommodation in Winchester?

No. 4 of the 67 on support in Winchester, about 6%, receive subsistence only: a cash payment with no accommodation, usually because they are living with friends or family. The rest are in Home Office accommodation, which covers dispersal housing and hotels.

Winchester: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Jun 2026. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

67
7047230Mar 2019Jun 2026Peak Mar 2026Albania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20192
Dec 202247
Mar 202350
Sept 20231
Jun 20248
Sept 202421
Dec 202421
Mar 202540
Jun 202535
Sept 202553
Dec 202568
Mar 202670
Jun 202667

Trend

-3Latest quarter change
+65Change across series
13Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation63
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only4
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
67
Homes for Ukraine
612
Afghan programme
51
Resettlement cumulative
40

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine612
Afghan programme51
Resettlement cumulative40

Population context

All pathways total730
Share of local population0.53%

Ethnic composition projection

Winchester: White British 88.1% (2021) to 76.2% (2051). On the model's measured out-of-sample error, 73.5 to 78.9%.

Ethnic composition: Winchester

024487397% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 70% in 2061White Other 12% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Mixed 10% in 2061Other 3% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Winchester

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
92%
2021
88%
2031proj
85%
2041proj
81%
8%
2051proj
76%
10%
2061proj
70%
12%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Winchester ranges from53.7% to 73.3%by 2051. That is a 19.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 60.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 51.9% → 11.8%.

Religion: Winchester

727476888%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 83% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

11% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.29). 96.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Winchester

628507294%Census 2021UK-born 50% in 2051Foreign-born 50% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 12.7% moved within UK, 1% arrived from abroad
black22.3% internal, 3.5% international
other21.1% internal, 3.7% international
asian15.8% internal, 7.5% international
white other15.6% internal, 4% international
mixed14.8% internal, 2.1% international
white british12.2% internal, 0.6% international

Why Winchester is changing

-3.7pp
National trend
-6.2pp
Age structure
-0.9pp
Local migration
+3.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).