South East

Windsor and Maidenhead

377 on asylum support. Rank 97 nationally, 7 in South East. Rate: 23.72 per 10,000 (82nd percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.

2025-12-31 South East region 95% contingency

Summary

Windsor and Maidenhead has 377 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 97 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 23.72 per 10,000 residents places it around the 82nd percentile. 358 are in contingency accommodation (95% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.

Supported asylum in Windsor and Maidenhead

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

377
452 301 151 0 Jun 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Dec 2024

Trend

+4 Latest quarter change
+376 Change across series
39 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 15
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 4
Contingency accommodation 358

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
377
Homes for Ukraine
524
Afghan programme
20
Resettlement cumulative
26

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 524
Afghan programme 20
Resettlement cumulative 26

Population context

All pathways total 921
Share of local population 0.58%

Hotel evidence

No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.

No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.

Ethnic composition projection

Windsor and Maidenhead: WBI 69.0% (2021) → 34.8% (2051). White British minority by ~2039. 80% CI: 30.8–35.8%.

Ethnic composition — Windsor and Maidenhead

0 21 41 62 83 % of population Census 2021 White British 35% White Other 14% Asian 24% Mixed 10% Other 16% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 6.0% (2021) → 10.3% (2051). Christian 53.1% → 16.2%.

Religion — Windsor and Maidenhead

0 16 31 47 63 % Census 2021 Christian 16% No religion 58% Muslim 10% Hindu 9% Sikh 6% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh

Nativity

21.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.57). 91.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born — Windsor and Maidenhead

17 33 50 67 83 % Census 2021 UK-born 31% Foreign-born 69% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Why Windsor and Maidenhead is changing

-8.5pp
National trend
-6.6pp
Age structure
+0.2pp
Local migration
-2.1pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Economy & housing by ethnicity

Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.

Employment rate

White British 63.1%
Mixed 70.5%
White Other 75.2%
Other 69.4%

Homeownership rate

White British 69.5%
Mixed 55.2%
White Other 49.8%
Other 56.7%

Degree+ qualification rate

White British 43.1%
Mixed 46.9%
White Other 56.5%
Other 53.7%
Source

Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.

School ethnicity

DfE School Census 2024/25: 22,677 pupils. 55.3% White British. Schools are 13.8pp more diverse than the general population.

Pupil ethnicity

White British 55.3%
Asian 18.5%
Mixed 10.8%
White Other 10.5%
Black 2.5%
Other 2.4%

What this means

Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

44.7% Minority pupils now
57.5% Projected 2041
Source

DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.

Service demand impact

Projected impact of demographic change on local services.

Language services 8.7%

non-English speakers

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Housing pressure +47.2pp

foreign-born growth to 2051

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

EAL demand +13.8pp

EAL growth

Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.

National benchmarks

Supported asylum count

National distribution.

377
low median top 10% high
Supported asylum rate

Per 10,000 residents.

23.72
low median top 10% high
Contingency accommodation

Hotel and contingency placements.

358
low median top 10% high

Regional peers

Top 6 in South East by supported asylum.

Portsmouth
742
Reading
732
Mid Sussex
450
Crawley
403
Milton Keynes
387
Windsor and Maidenhead
This area | 377