South East

Woking

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Will Forster
Mr Will ForsterLiberal Democrats · Woking

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Woking.

7 people on asylum support in Woking

Rank 312 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.66 per 10,000 puts Woking in the 15th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2042. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 7 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.3M a year.

What asylum costs Woking

£158Kestimated hotel costs/year
£18Ksubsistence payments/year
£8KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 7 people on asylum support in Woking(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Woking: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1
4027130Dec 2017Dec 2025Peak Jun 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20173
Mar 20183
Dec 20191
Mar 20201
Jun 20202
Sept 20202
Dec 20201
Mar 20216
Jun 20219
Sept 202112
Dec 202116
Mar 202220
Jun 202225
Sept 202227
Dec 202230
Mar 202330
Jun 202340
Sept 202340
Dec 202329
Mar 202433
Jun 202418
Sept 20248
Dec 20244
Mar 20252
Jun 20252
Sept 20251
Dec 20251

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
-2Change across series
27Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation4
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
7
Homes for Ukraine
573
Afghan programme
115
Resettlement cumulative
158

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine573
Afghan programme115
Resettlement cumulative158

Population context

All pathways total695
Share of local population0.65%

Ethnic composition projection

Woking: White British 67.2% (2021) to 42.0% (2051). White British minority by ~2042. 80% CI: 41.3, 46.3%.

Ethnic composition: Woking

020406080% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 33% in 2061White Other 13% in 2061Asian 23% in 2061Black 3% in 2061Mixed 18% in 2061Other 9% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Woking

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
75%
9%
12%
2021
67%
11%
14%
2031proj
60%
13%
17%
2041proj
51%
13%
20%
8%
2051proj
42%
14%
22%
12%
2061proj
33%
13%
23%
18%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Woking ranges from35.6% to 49.3%by 2051. That is a 13.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 40.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 9.9% (2021) → 12.7% (2051). Christian 50.5% → 16.7%.

Religion: Woking

521385471%Census 2021Christian 17% in 2051No religion 66% in 2051Muslim 13% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

24.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.59). 88.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Woking

1935506581%Census 2021UK-born 40% in 2051Foreign-born 60% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.4% moved within UK, 1.3% arrived from abroad
black14.5% internal, 3.8% international
white other14.1% internal, 3.4% international
other12.2% internal, 2.9% international
mixed12.7% internal, 1.2% international
asian9.4% internal, 2.8% international
white british8.2% internal, 0.6% international

Why Woking is changing

-7.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+0.4pp
Local migration
-1.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).