South East

Wokingham

219 on asylum support. Rank 137 nationally, 13 in South East. Rate: 11.7 per 10,000 (59th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.

2025-12-31 South East region 94.1% contingency

Summary

Wokingham has 219 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 137 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 11.7 per 10,000 residents places it around the 59th percentile. 206 are in contingency accommodation (94.1% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.

Supported asylum in Wokingham

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

219
279 186 93 0 Dec 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Jun 2025

Trend

-48 Latest quarter change
+217 Change across series
31 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 10
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 206

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
219
Homes for Ukraine
551
Afghan programme
36
Resettlement cumulative
25

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 551
Afghan programme 36
Resettlement cumulative 25

Population context

All pathways total 806
Share of local population 0.43%

Hotel evidence

No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.

No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.

Ethnic composition projection

Wokingham: WBI 72.7% (2021) → 28.9% (2051). White British minority by ~2038. 80% CI: 31.7–36.7%.

Ethnic composition — Wokingham

0 22 44 66 89 % of population Census 2021 White British 29% White Other 17% Asian 36% Black 1% Mixed 7% Other 10% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 5.2% (2021) → 11.5% (2051). Christian 47.5% → 8.9%.

Religion — Wokingham

0 14 28 42 56 % Census 2021 Christian 9% No religion 49% Muslim 11% Hindu 28% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu

Nativity

18.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.53). 92% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born — Wokingham

14 32 50 68 86 % Census 2021 UK-born 35% Foreign-born 65% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Wokingham is changing

-10.9pp
National trend
-6.6pp
Age structure
-0.3pp
Local migration
-4.1pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Economy & housing by ethnicity

Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.

Employment rate

White British 65.1%
Mixed 72.6%
White Other 77%
Other 67.7%

Homeownership rate

White British 80.1%
Mixed 64%
White Other 58.1%
Other 63.1%

Degree+ qualification rate

White British 45.2%
Mixed 42.8%
White Other 55.5%
Other 61.9%
Source

Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.

School ethnicity

DfE School Census 2024/25: 28,845 pupils. 55.4% White British. Schools are 17.3pp more diverse than the general population.

Pupil ethnicity

White British 55.4%
Asian 22.6%
Mixed 9%
White Other 7.7%
Black 3.6%
Other 1.6%

What this means

Schools are 17pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

44.6% Minority pupils now
59.7% Projected 2041
Source

DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.

Service demand impact

Projected impact of demographic change on local services.

Language services 8%

non-English speakers

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Housing pressure +46.2pp

foreign-born growth to 2051

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

EAL demand +17.3pp

EAL growth

Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.

National benchmarks

Supported asylum count

National distribution.

219
low median top 10% high
Supported asylum rate

Per 10,000 residents.

11.7
low median top 10% high
Contingency accommodation

Hotel and contingency placements.

206
low median top 10% high

Regional peers

Top 6 in South East by supported asylum.

Portsmouth
742
Reading
732
Mid Sussex
450
Crawley
403
Milton Keynes
387
Wokingham
This area | 219