South East

Wokingham

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Clive Jones
Clive JonesLiberal Democrats · Wokingham
125 people on asylum support in Wokingham

Rank 167 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 6.61 per 10,000 puts Wokingham in the 51st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2045. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 100 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 125 people at £107 per person per day is about £4.9M a year.

What asylum costs Wokingham

£2.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£320Ksubsistence payments/year
£150KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 125 people on asylum support in Wokingham(0.13% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Wokingham: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

219
279186930Dec 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20142
Mar 20152
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Jun 20191
Sept 20191
Dec 20191
Mar 20202
Jun 20201
Sept 20204
Dec 20204
Mar 20213
Jun 20213
Sept 20216
Dec 202132
Mar 202214
Jun 202210
Sept 202218
Dec 2022149
Mar 2023144
Jun 2023158
Sept 2023168
Dec 2023241
Mar 2024157
Jun 202427
Sept 202428
Dec 2024267
Mar 2025234
Jun 2025279
Sept 2025267
Dec 2025219

Trend

-48Latest quarter change
+217Change across series
31Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation22
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation100

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
125
Homes for Ukraine
560
Afghan programme
36
Resettlement cumulative
25

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine560
Afghan programme36
Resettlement cumulative25

Population context

All pathways total721
Share of local population0.38%

Ethnic composition projection

Wokingham: White British 72.7% (2021) to 43.8% (2051). White British minority by ~2045. 80% CI: 42.7, 48%.

Ethnic composition: Wokingham

022446689% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 34% in 2061White Other 10% in 2061Asian 30% in 2061Black 6% in 2061Mixed 14% in 2061Other 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Wokingham

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
84%
2021
73%
13%
2031proj
64%
9%
17%
2041proj
55%
10%
21%
2051proj
44%
10%
26%
10%
2061proj
34%
10%
30%
14%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Wokingham ranges from45.8% to 57.4%by 2051. That is a 11.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 50.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 5.2% (2021) → 11.5% (2051). Christian 47.5% → 8.9%.

Religion: Wokingham

014284357%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 50% in 2051Muslim 11% in 2051Hindu 27% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

18.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.53). 92% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Wokingham

1432506886%Census 2021UK-born 35% in 2051Foreign-born 65% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.6% moved within UK, 1% arrived from abroad
white other14.7% internal, 3.3% international
black14.6% internal, 2.5% international
other11.9% internal, 2.9% international
mixed13.3% internal, 1.3% international
asian11.2% internal, 2.9% international
white british8.5% internal, 0.4% international

Why Wokingham is changing

-10.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.3pp
Local migration
-4.2pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).