Trend
-26 Latest quarter change
+777 Change across series
48 Official data points
Wolverhampton
1,318 on asylum support. Rank 17 nationally, 4 in West Midlands. Rate: 46.86 per 10,000 (98th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Wolverhampton has 1,318 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 17 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 46.86 per 10,000 residents places it around the 98th percentile. 285 are in contingency accommodation (21.6% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Wolverhampton
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 1,025
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 8
Contingency accommodation 285
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 149
Afghan programme 239
Resettlement cumulative 120
Population context
All pathways total 1,706
Share of local population 0.61%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Wolverhampton: WBI 54.7% (2021) → 15.3% (2051). White British minority by ~2025. 80% CI: 15.9–19.8%.
Ethnic composition — Wolverhampton
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 5.8% (2021) → 12.8% (2051). Christian 46.4% → 14.6%.
Religion — Wolverhampton
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh
Nativity
22.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.71). 85% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Wolverhampton
UK-born Foreign-born
established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Wolverhampton is changing
-9.8ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.8%
Mixed 63.5%
White Other 74.2%
Other 57.5%
Homeownership rate
White British 58.3%
Mixed 28.9%
White Other 27.6%
Other 49.1%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 26.1%
Mixed 26.1%
White Other 27.6%
Other 28.7%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 50,239 pupils. 35.7% White British. Schools are 19pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 35.7%
Asian 28%
Black 15.5%
Mixed 12.6%
White Other 6.3%
Other 1.9%
What this means
Schools are 19pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
64.3% Minority pupils now
74.6% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
1,318 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
46.86 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
285 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in West Midlands by supported asylum.