South East

Worthing

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Tom Rutland
Tom RutlandLabour · East Worthing and Shoreham

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Worthing.

19 people on asylum support in Worthing

Rank 284 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.67 per 10,000 puts Worthing in the 24th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 19 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.7M a year.

What asylum costs Worthing

£429Kestimated hotel costs/year
£49Ksubsistence payments/year
£23KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 19 people on asylum support in Worthing(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Worthing: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

15
171160Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20142
Jun 20143
Sept 20144
Dec 20144
Mar 20153
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Sept 20171
Dec 20171
Mar 20181
Jun 20181
Sept 20181
Dec 20181
Mar 20191
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Sept 20221
Dec 20221
Mar 20231
Jun 20238
Sept 20236
Dec 202311
Mar 202412
Jun 202413
Sept 202415
Dec 202410
Mar 202517
Jun 202516
Sept 202516
Dec 202515

Trend

-1Latest quarter change
+13Change across series
32Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation18
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
19
Homes for Ukraine
178
Afghan programme
45
Resettlement cumulative
26

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine178
Afghan programme45
Resettlement cumulative26

Population context

All pathways total242
Share of local population0.21%

Ethnic composition projection

Worthing: White British 85.0% (2021) to 71.5% (2051). 80% CI: 71.3, 75.1%.

Ethnic composition: Worthing

024477194% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 64% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Asian 6% in 2061Mixed 13% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Worthing

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
89%
2021
85%
2031proj
82%
2041proj
77%
8%
2051proj
71%
9%
9%
2061proj
64%
9%
13%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Worthing ranges from47.8% to 67.9%by 2051. That is a 20.1pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 54.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.8% (2021) → 2.2% (2051). Christian 46.9% → 10.2%.

Religion: Worthing

527486991%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 86% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

12.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.35). 94.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Worthing

729507193%Census 2021UK-born 61% in 2051Foreign-born 39% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.4% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
white other14.2% internal, 2.1% international
other12.1% internal, 3.9% international
asian10.6% internal, 3.9% international
mixed12.1% internal, 1.2% international
black10.5% internal, 2.4% international
white british8.8% internal, 0.2% international

Why Worthing is changing

-4.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+2.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).