West Midlands

Wychavon

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
42 people on asylum support in Wychavon

Rank 240 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 3.02 per 10,000 puts Wychavon in the 34th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 6 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 42 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.6M a year.

What asylum costs Wychavon

£948Kestimated hotel costs/year
£107Ksubsistence payments/year
£50KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 42 people on asylum support in Wychavon(0.05% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Wychavon: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

113
224149750Dec 2018Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20181
Mar 20192
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Dec 20217
Mar 202210
Jun 202212
Sept 202235
Dec 2022173
Mar 2023161
Jun 2023180
Sept 2023224
Dec 2023111
Mar 202484
Jun 202495
Sept 202473
Dec 202499
Mar 202581
Jun 202599
Sept 2025105
Dec 2025113

Trend

+8Latest quarter change
+112Change across series
22Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation36
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only6
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
42
Homes for Ukraine
531
Afghan programme
81
Resettlement cumulative
31

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine531
Afghan programme81
Resettlement cumulative31

Population context

All pathways total654
Share of local population0.47%

Ethnic composition projection

Wychavon: White British 90.6% (2021) to 83.0% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Wychavon

025497499% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 80% in 2061White Other 13% in 2061Mixed 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Wychavon

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
94%
2021
91%
2031proj
89%
2041proj
86%
9%
2051proj
83%
11%
2061proj
80%
13%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Wychavon ranges from53.8% to 74.8%by 2051. That is a 20.9pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 61.1% → 14.1%.

Religion: Wychavon

929496989%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

8.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.23). 95.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Wychavon

327507397%Census 2021UK-born 59% in 2051Foreign-born 42% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.1% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black16.4% internal, 2.4% international
other12.4% internal, 3.3% international
white other10.9% internal, 2.6% international
mixed11.7% internal, 0.6% international
asian9.8% internal, 1.3% international
white british7.8% internal, 0.2% international

Why Wychavon is changing

-3.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+4.2pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).