West Midlands

Wyre Forest

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mark Garnier
Mark GarnierConservative · Wyre Forest
56 people on asylum support in Wyre Forest

Rank 227 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 5.38 per 10,000 puts Wyre Forest in the 46th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 56 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.2M a year.

What asylum costs Wyre Forest

£1.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£143Ksubsistence payments/year
£67KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 56 people on asylum support in Wyre Forest(0.06% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Wyre Forest: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

43
182121610Mar 2015Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Jun 20162
Sept 20162
Dec 20162
Mar 20171
Jun 20171
Sept 20171
Dec 20171
Mar 20182
Jun 20181
Sept 20181
Mar 20202
Jun 20202
Sept 20202
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20223
Sept 202211
Dec 2022156
Mar 2023159
Jun 2023159
Sept 2023182
Dec 202389
Mar 202421
Jun 20249
Sept 20247
Dec 202413
Mar 202528
Jun 202522
Sept 202527
Dec 202543

Trend

+16Latest quarter change
+42Change across series
39Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation54
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
56
Homes for Ukraine
178
Afghan programme
29
Resettlement cumulative
21

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine178
Afghan programme29
Resettlement cumulative21

Population context

All pathways total263
Share of local population0.25%

Ethnic composition projection

Wyre Forest: White British 92.5% (2021) to 83.1% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Wyre Forest

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 77% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Mixed 6% in 2061Other 3% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Wyre Forest

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
92%
2031proj
90%
2041proj
87%
2051proj
83%
2061proj
77%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Wyre Forest ranges from50.6% to 75.2%by 2051. That is a 24.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 59.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.1% (2021) → 1.6% (2051). Christian 56.7% → 11.8%.

Religion: Wyre Forest

728496990%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 85% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Wyre Forest

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 71% in 2051Foreign-born 30% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.6% moved within UK, 0.2% arrived from abroad
other13.2% internal, 2.9% international
black13.1% internal, 2% international
mixed13.5% internal, 0.3% international
asian11.2% internal, 1% international
white other10.4% internal, 1.5% international
white british7.3% internal, 0.1% international

Why Wyre Forest is changing

-2.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).