Trend
+3 Latest quarter change
+165 Change across series
48 Official data points
Barking and Dagenham
301 on asylum support. Rank 113 nationally, 17 in London. Rate: 12.93 per 10,000 (62nd percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
2025-12-31 London region
Summary
Barking and Dagenham has 301 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 113 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 12.93 per 10,000 residents places it around the 62nd percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Barking and Dagenham
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 275
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 26
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 959
Afghan programme 39
Resettlement cumulative 9
Population context
All pathways total 1,299
Share of local population 0.56%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Barking and Dagenham: WBI 30.9% (2021) → 1.5% (2051). 80% CI: 2.2–2.8%.
Ethnic composition — Barking and Dagenham
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 25.8% (2021) → 71.6% (2051). Christian 48.0% → 12.6%.
Religion — Barking and Dagenham
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Nativity
41.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.85). 75.9% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Barking and Dagenham
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Barking and Dagenham is changing
-18.6ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 61.3%
Mixed 64.8%
White Other 78.5%
Other 63.5%
Homeownership rate
White British 45.9%
Mixed 30.7%
White Other 36.5%
Other 40.6%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 33%
Mixed 31.6%
White Other 34.6%
Other 33.9%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 45,308 pupils. 15.9% White British. Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Asian 34.4%
Black 23.8%
White British 15.9%
White Other 14.3%
Mixed 9.5%
Other 2.2%
What this means
Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
84.1% Minority pupils now
95.2% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
301 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
12.93 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.