Trend
-52 Latest quarter change
+933 Change across series
48 Official data points
Brent
1,024 on asylum support. Rank 27 nationally, 7 in London. Rate: 29.01 per 10,000 (86th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Brent has 1,024 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 27 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 29.01 per 10,000 residents places it around the 86th percentile. 730 are in contingency accommodation (71.3% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Brent
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 149
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 145
Contingency accommodation 730
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 814
Afghan programme 150
Resettlement cumulative 54
Population context
All pathways total 1,988
Share of local population 0.56%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Brent: WBI 15.2% (2021) → 4.1% (2051). 80% CI: 3.4–4.6%.
Ethnic composition — Brent
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 22.9% (2021) → 30.5% (2051). Christian 41.7% → 30.2%.
Religion — Brent
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Nativity
56.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.91). 66.3% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Brent
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Brent is changing
-2.8ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 61.7%
Mixed 67.2%
White Other 74.7%
Other 53.9%
Homeownership rate
White British 45.8%
Mixed 28.2%
White Other 32%
Other 26.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 40.3%
Mixed 41.8%
White Other 39.8%
Other 37%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 47,868 pupils. 10.2% White British.
Pupil ethnicity
Asian 32.7%
Black 17.4%
White Other 15.8%
Other 15.2%
White British 10.2%
Mixed 8.6%
What this means
School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.
89.8% Minority pupils now
94.2% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
1,024 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
29.01 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
730 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.