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Bromley

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Peter Fortune
Peter FortuneConservative · Bromley and Biggin Hill
144 people on asylum support in Bromley

Rank 156 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 4.29 per 10,000 puts Bromley in the 41st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2038. 15 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 144 people at £107 per person per day is about £5.6M a year.

What asylum costs Bromley

£3.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£368Ksubsistence payments/year
£173KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 144 people on asylum support in Bromley(0.15% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Bromley: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

175
229153760Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201420
Jun 201420
Sept 201414
Dec 201419
Mar 201524
Jun 201519
Sept 201519
Dec 201518
Mar 201618
Jun 201621
Sept 201619
Dec 201629
Mar 201728
Jun 201717
Sept 201719
Dec 201726
Mar 201831
Jun 201824
Sept 201823
Dec 201819
Mar 201923
Jun 201919
Sept 201921
Dec 201928
Mar 202041
Jun 202045
Sept 202046
Dec 202042
Mar 202142
Jun 202148
Sept 202152
Dec 202150
Mar 202245
Jun 202262
Sept 202251
Dec 202251
Mar 202350
Jun 2023229
Sept 2023222
Dec 2023185
Mar 2024173
Jun 2024153
Sept 2024154
Dec 2024162
Mar 2025172
Jun 2025155
Sept 2025164
Dec 2025175

Trend

+11Latest quarter change
+155Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation129
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only15
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
144
Homes for Ukraine
1,202
Afghan programme
11
Resettlement cumulative
4

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,202
Afghan programme11
Resettlement cumulative4

Population context

All pathways total1,357
Share of local population0.4%

Ethnic composition projection

Bromley: White British 66.5% (2021) to 36.4% (2051). White British minority by ~2038. 80% CI: 35.6, 39.7%.

Ethnic composition: Bromley

021416282% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 27% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 17% in 2061Black 11% in 2061Mixed 22% in 2061Other 9% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Bromley

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
77%
2021
67%
10%
8%
2031proj
57%
12%
11%
9%
2041proj
47%
13%
13%
10%
11%
2051proj
36%
14%
15%
11%
16%
2061proj
27%
14%
17%
11%
22%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Bromley ranges from46.0% to 52.5%by 2051. That is a 6.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 48.7% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 3.5% (2021) → 4.5% (2051). Christian 51.6% → 15.0%.

Religion: Bromley

018365573%Census 2021Christian 15% in 2051No religion 68% in 2051Muslim 4% in 2051Hindu 11% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

20.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.64). 91.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Bromley

1533506785%Census 2021UK-born 46% in 2051Foreign-born 54% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 8% moved within UK, 0.7% arrived from abroad
white other11.7% internal, 1.7% international
other10.8% internal, 2.3% international
asian10.8% internal, 1.9% international
black9.6% internal, 1.1% international
mixed10% internal, 0.7% international
white british6.7% internal, 0.3% international

Why Bromley is changing

-10.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+0.2pp
Local migration
-4.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Bromley on UK Demographics →