Trend
-57 Latest quarter change
+439 Change across series
48 Official data points
Calderdale
608 on asylum support. Rank 55 nationally, 8 in Yorkshire and The Humber. Rate: 28.82 per 10,000 (86th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
Summary
Calderdale has 608 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 55 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 28.82 per 10,000 residents places it around the 86th percentile. 93 are in contingency accommodation (15.3% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Calderdale
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 502
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 13
Contingency accommodation 93
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 284
Afghan programme 73
Resettlement cumulative 115
Population context
All pathways total 965
Share of local population 0.46%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Calderdale: WBI 82.8% (2021) → 66.5% (2051). 80% CI: 56.9–62.5%.
Ethnic composition — Calderdale
White British White Other Asian Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 10.1% (2021) → 11.6% (2051). Christian 43.8% → 9.0%.
Religion — Calderdale
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
8.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.37). 95.4% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Calderdale
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Calderdale is changing
-4ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58.9%
Mixed 68.1%
White Other 65.3%
Other 56.4%
Homeownership rate
White British 66%
Mixed 45%
White Other 49.3%
Other 38.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 30.4%
Mixed 34.9%
White Other 39.4%
Other 35.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 35,026 pupils. 69.6% White British. Schools are 13.2pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 69.6%
Asian 19.5%
Mixed 5%
White Other 3.2%
Black 1.7%
Other 0.9%
What this means
Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
30.4% Minority pupils now
34.4% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
608 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
28.82 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
93 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in Yorkshire and The Humber by supported asylum.