London

Camden

230 on asylum support. Rank 131 nationally, 20 in London. Rate: 10.6 per 10,000 (57th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.

2025-12-31 London region 87% contingency

Summary

Camden has 230 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 131 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 10.6 per 10,000 residents places it around the 57th percentile. 200 are in contingency accommodation (87% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.

Supported asylum in Camden

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

230
700 467 233 0 Mar 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Mar 2023

Trend

-20 Latest quarter change
+214 Change across series
48 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 10
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 20
Contingency accommodation 200

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
230
Homes for Ukraine
1,107
Afghan programme
327
Resettlement cumulative
102

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 1,107
Afghan programme 327
Resettlement cumulative 102

Population context

All pathways total 1,664
Share of local population 0.77%

Hotel evidence

No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.

No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.

Ethnic composition projection

Camden: WBI 35.4% (2021) → 11.5% (2051). 80% CI: 8.3–12.2%.

Ethnic composition — Camden

0 12 24 37 49 % of population Census 2021 White British 11% White Other 23% Asian 15% Black 8% Mixed 7% Other 36% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 17.7% (2021) → 23.1% (2051). Christian 34.5% → 15.1%.

Religion — Camden

10 22 34 46 58 % Census 2021 Christian 15% No religion 53% Muslim 23% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim

Nativity

45.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.88). 78.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born — Camden

16 33 50 67 84 % Census 2021 UK-born 21% Foreign-born 79% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Why Camden is changing

-8.6pp
National trend
-6.6pp
Age structure
+3pp
Local migration
-5pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Economy & housing by ethnicity

Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.

Employment rate

White British 59.7%
Mixed 63.1%
White Other 71.2%
Other 58%

Homeownership rate

White British 32.7%
Mixed 22.2%
White Other 28.2%
Other 23.5%

Degree+ qualification rate

White British 53.7%
Mixed 53.5%
White Other 67.8%
Other 53.5%
Source

Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.

School ethnicity

DfE School Census 2024/25: 19,992 pupils. 22.5% White British. Schools are 12.9pp more diverse than the general population.

Pupil ethnicity

White British 22.5%
Asian 19.6%
Black 17%
White Other 16.6%
Mixed 15.8%
Other 8.6%

What this means

Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

77.5% Minority pupils now
84.4% Projected 2041
Source

DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.

Service demand impact

Projected impact of demographic change on local services.

Language services 21.3%

non-English speakers

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Housing pressure +34pp

foreign-born growth to 2051

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

EAL demand +12.9pp

EAL growth

Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.

National benchmarks

Supported asylum count

National distribution.

230
low median top 10% high
Supported asylum rate

Per 10,000 residents.

10.6
low median top 10% high
Contingency accommodation

Hotel and contingency placements.

200
low median top 10% high

Regional peers

Top 6 in London by supported asylum.

Hillingdon
2,133
Hounslow
1,720
Croydon
1,483
Barnet
1,393
Ealing
1,249
Camden
This area | 230