Trend
-146 Latest quarter change
+464 Change across series
35 Official data points
Cheshire East
465 on asylum support. Rank 73 nationally, 17 in North West. Rate: 11.04 per 10,000 (58th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Cheshire East has 465 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 73 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 11.04 per 10,000 residents places it around the 58th percentile. 145 are in contingency accommodation (31.2% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Cheshire East
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 312
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 8
Contingency accommodation 145
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 870
Afghan programme 63
Resettlement cumulative 42
Population context
All pathways total 1,398
Share of local population 0.33%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Cheshire East: WBI 89.6% (2021) → 63.9% (2051). 80% CI: 64.9–69.7%.
Ethnic composition — Cheshire East
White British White Other Asian Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 1.1% (2021) → 2.0% (2051). Christian 57.5% → 12.9%.
Religion — Cheshire East
Christian No religion
Nativity
8.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.27). 95.8% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Cheshire East
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Cheshire East is changing
-3.9ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 59.7%
Mixed 70.5%
White Other 77.1%
Other 69.2%
Homeownership rate
White British 74.6%
Mixed 54.2%
White Other 46.1%
Other 43.4%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 37.3%
Mixed 40.8%
White Other 41.6%
Other 40.6%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 56,327 pupils. 81.9% White British. Schools are 7.7pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 81.9%
White Other 5.9%
Mixed 4.8%
Asian 4.6%
Black 2.1%
Other 0.8%
What this means
Schools are 8pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
18.1% Minority pupils now
32% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
465 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
11.04 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
145 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.