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London

City of London

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Rachel Blake
Rachel BlakeLabour (Co-op) · Cities of London and Westminster

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping City of London.

1 people on asylum support in City of London

Rank 337 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.64 per 10,000 puts City of London in the 14th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 1 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.0M a year.

What asylum costs City of London

£23Kestimated hotel costs/year
£3Ksubsistence payments/year
£1KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1 people on asylum support in City of London(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

City of London: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Sept 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1
11740Mar 2014Sept 2025Peak Sept 2023Bibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20232
Sept 202311
Mar 20252
Jun 20251
Sept 20251

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
9Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1
Homes for Ukraine
0
Afghan programme
6
Resettlement cumulative
7

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine0
Afghan programme6
Resettlement cumulative7

Population context

All pathways total7
Share of local population0.04%

Ethnic composition projection

City of London: White British 42.5% (2021) to 19.9% (2051).

Ethnic composition: City of London

016314763% of populationCensus 2021White British 20% in 2051White Other 32% in 2051Asian 24% in 2051Black 5% in 2051Mixed 8% in 2051Other 10% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: City of London

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
58%
21%
13%
2021
43%
27%
17%
2026proj
37%
29%
19%
2031proj
32%
30%
20%
2036proj
29%
31%
21%
8%
2041proj
25%
32%
22%
9%
2046proj
22%
32%
24%
10%
2051proj
20%
32%
24%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in City of London ranges from7.4% to 13.7%by 2051. That is a 6.3pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 8.7% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 6.9% (2021) → 7.5% (2051). Christian 38.1% → 12.3%.

Religion: City of London

020395979%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 74% in 2051Muslim 8% in 2051Hindu 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

49.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.8). 78.4% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: City of London

628507294%Census 2021UK-born 11% in 2051Foreign-born 89% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 18.2% moved within UK, 6.4% arrived from abroad
white other22.8% internal, 10.6% international
asian19.6% internal, 10.6% international
other18.4% internal, 7.7% international
mixed19.8% internal, 6% international
white british15% internal, 2.1% international
black9.9% internal, 3% international

Why City of London is changing

-15pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+1.8pp
Local migration
-10.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View City of London on UK Demographics →