Trend
+213 Latest quarter change
+1,327 Change across series
48 Official data points
Croydon
1,483 on asylum support. Rank 13 nationally, 3 in London. Rate: 36.23 per 10,000 (93rd percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Croydon has 1,483 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 13 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 36.23 per 10,000 residents places it around the 93rd percentile. 1,069 are in contingency accommodation (72.1% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Croydon
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 140
Initial accommodation 240
Subsistence only 34
Contingency accommodation 1,069
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 1,128
Afghan programme 31
Resettlement cumulative 5
Population context
All pathways total 2,642
Share of local population 0.65%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Croydon: WBI 37.4% (2021) → 3.7% (2051). 80% CI: 4.9–6.6%.
Ethnic composition — Croydon
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 11.2% (2021) → 18.5% (2051). Christian 52.5% → 26.7%.
Religion — Croydon
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Nativity
34.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.85). 84% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Croydon
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Croydon is changing
-9.8ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 63.9%
Mixed 69.2%
White Other 76.9%
Other 63.9%
Homeownership rate
White British 59.2%
Mixed 44.5%
White Other 43.8%
Other 41.8%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 40.9%
Mixed 38.1%
White Other 43.7%
Other 39.1%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 56,112 pupils. 22.8% White British. Schools are 14.6pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Black 28.6%
White British 22.8%
Asian 19%
Mixed 16.6%
White Other 9.9%
Other 3%
What this means
Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
77.2% Minority pupils now
89.5% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
1,483 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
36.23 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
1,069 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in London by supported asylum.