Trend
+62 Latest quarter change
+1,137 Change across series
48 Official data points
Ealing
1,249 on asylum support. Rank 20 nationally, 5 in London. Rate: 32.36 per 10,000 (89th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Ealing has 1,249 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 20 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 32.36 per 10,000 residents places it around the 89th percentile. 469 are in contingency accommodation (37.6% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Ealing
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 654
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 126
Contingency accommodation 469
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 1,700
Afghan programme 253
Resettlement cumulative 72
Population context
All pathways total 3,202
Share of local population 0.83%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Ealing: WBI 24.3% (2021) → 6.5% (2051). 80% CI: 5.3–6.9%.
Ethnic composition — Ealing
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 20.1% (2021) → 28.7% (2051). Christian 40.6% → 22.0%.
Religion — Ealing
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh
Nativity
50.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.91). 69.1% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Ealing
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Ealing is changing
-6.1ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 61.9%
Mixed 67.4%
White Other 76.7%
Other 54.7%
Homeownership rate
White British 53.7%
Mixed 35.6%
White Other 38.8%
Other 36.1%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 43.4%
Mixed 45.3%
White Other 48.6%
Other 41.2%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 53,831 pupils. 12.9% White British. Schools are 11.4pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Asian 31%
Other 18.4%
White Other 14.7%
Black 12.9%
White British 12.9%
Mixed 10%
What this means
Schools are 11pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
87.1% Minority pupils now
90.3% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
1,249 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
32.36 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
469 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in London by supported asylum.