Trend
-6 Latest quarter change
+218 Change across series
48 Official data points
Enfield
390 on asylum support. Rank 91 nationally, 13 in London. Rate: 11.91 per 10,000 (60th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
2025-12-31 London region
Summary
Enfield has 390 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 91 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 11.91 per 10,000 residents places it around the 60th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Enfield
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 224
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 166
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 723
Afghan programme 109
Resettlement cumulative 14
Population context
All pathways total 1,222
Share of local population 0.37%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Enfield: WBI 31.3% (2021) → 3.6% (2051). 80% CI: 3.6–4.7%.
Ethnic composition — Enfield
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 20.0% (2021) → 6.0% (2051). Christian 49.9% → 6.9%.
Religion — Enfield
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Nativity
40.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.91). 76.5% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Enfield
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Enfield is changing
-9.2ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 59.5%
Mixed 65.2%
White Other 65.8%
Other 55.6%
Homeownership rate
White British 58.6%
Mixed 43.5%
White Other 45%
Other 43.7%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 38.5%
Mixed 38.7%
White Other 33.8%
Other 28.8%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 52,922 pupils. 17.4% White British. Schools are 13.9pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White Other 31.9%
Black 21.9%
White British 17.4%
Mixed 12.7%
Asian 9.4%
Other 6.8%
What this means
Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
82.6% Minority pupils now
91.4% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
390 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
11.91 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.