North West

Fylde

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Andrew Snowden
Mr Andrew SnowdenConservative · Fylde
88 people on asylum support in Fylde

Rank 184 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 10.15 per 10,000 puts Fylde in the 61st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 88 people at £107 per person per day is about £3.4M a year.

What asylum costs Fylde

£2.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£225Ksubsistence payments/year
£106KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 88 people on asylum support in Fylde(0.09% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Fylde: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

73
7349240Sept 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20141
Mar 20162
Jun 20164
Sept 20164
Dec 20164
Jun 20176
Sept 20179
Dec 201711
Mar 201811
Jun 201811
Sept 201820
Dec 201820
Mar 201916
Jun 201910
Sept 201911
Dec 201915
Mar 202018
Jun 202019
Sept 202019
Dec 202020
Mar 202129
Jun 202129
Sept 202124
Dec 202131
Mar 202234
Jun 202234
Sept 202238
Dec 202234
Mar 202335
Jun 202349
Sept 202357
Dec 202356
Mar 202461
Jun 202462
Sept 202462
Dec 202456
Mar 202558
Jun 202573
Sept 202565
Dec 202573

Trend

+8Latest quarter change
+72Change across series
40Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation87
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
88
Homes for Ukraine
218
Afghan programme
59
Resettlement cumulative
19

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine218
Afghan programme59
Resettlement cumulative19

Population context

All pathways total365
Share of local population0.42%

Ethnic composition projection

Fylde: White British 93.1% (2021) to 87.3% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Fylde

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 83% in 2061White Other 5% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Fylde

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
93%
2031proj
92%
2041proj
90%
2051proj
87%
2061proj
83%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Fylde ranges from44.7% to 72.3%by 2051. That is a 27.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 53.6% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 64.9% → 18.4%.

Religion: Fylde

1331496684%Census 2021Christian 18% in 2051No religion 79% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.19). 97.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Fylde

126507599%Census 2021UK-born 66% in 2051Foreign-born 34% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.1% moved within UK, 0.9% arrived from abroad
black18.8% internal, 7% international
other19.5% internal, 4.7% international
asian10.9% internal, 4.4% international
mixed13.4% internal, 1.4% international
white other10.2% internal, 3.2% international
white british8.9% internal, 0.7% international

Why Fylde is changing

-1.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).