Trend
+16 Latest quarter change
+75 Change across series
48 Official data points
Greenwich
144 on asylum support. Rank 171 nationally, 25 in London. Rate: 4.81 per 10,000 (43rd percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
2025-12-31 London region
Summary
Greenwich has 144 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 171 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 4.81 per 10,000 residents places it around the 43rd percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Greenwich
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 115
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 29
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 1,379
Afghan programme 93
Resettlement cumulative 81
Population context
All pathways total 1,616
Share of local population 0.54%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Greenwich: WBI 41.4% (2021) → 4.5% (2051). 80% CI: 6.4–8.6%.
Ethnic composition — Greenwich
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 9.1% (2021) → 13.8% (2051). Christian 47.8% → 22.0%.
Religion — Greenwich
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Nativity
37.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.83). 81.8% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Greenwich
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Greenwich is changing
-10.9ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 64.9%
Mixed 69%
White Other 81%
Other 64.5%
Homeownership rate
White British 44.9%
Mixed 34.4%
White Other 39.1%
Other 35.2%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 43.8%
Mixed 44.4%
White Other 56.9%
Other 39.4%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 43,337 pupils. 28.1% White British. Schools are 13.3pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Black 29.5%
White British 28.1%
Mixed 13.9%
White Other 13.6%
Asian 11.4%
Other 3.4%
What this means
Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
71.9% Minority pupils now
88.1% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
144 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
4.81 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.