London

Hackney

589 on asylum support. Rank 58 nationally, 8 in London. Rate: 22.08 per 10,000 (80th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.

2025-12-31 London region 90.7% contingency

Summary

Hackney has 589 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 58 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 22.08 per 10,000 residents places it around the 80th percentile. 534 are in contingency accommodation (90.7% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.

Supported asylum in Hackney

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

589
833 555 278 0 Mar 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Jun 2023

Trend

-17 Latest quarter change
+538 Change across series
48 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 31
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 24
Contingency accommodation 534

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
589
Homes for Ukraine
553
Afghan programme
39
Resettlement cumulative
35

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 553
Afghan programme 39
Resettlement cumulative 35

Population context

All pathways total 1,181
Share of local population 0.44%

Hotel evidence

No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.

No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.

Ethnic composition projection

Hackney: WBI 33.9% (2021) → 15.4% (2051). 80% CI: 11.4–16.1%.

Ethnic composition — Hackney

0 15 30 45 59 % of population Census 2021 White British 15% White Other 8% Asian 6% Black 11% Mixed 5% Other 54% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 14.6% (2021) → 5.7% (2051). Christian 33.6% → 7.8%.

Religion — Hackney

1 14 27 40 53 % Census 2021 Christian 8% No religion 39% Muslim 6% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim

Nativity

39.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.89). 80.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born — Hackney

20 35 50 65 80 % Census 2021 UK-born 25% Foreign-born 75% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Why Hackney is changing

-2.2pp
National trend
-6.6pp
Age structure
+3.6pp
Local migration
+0.7pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Economy & housing by ethnicity

Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.

Employment rate

White British 68%
Mixed 73.3%
White Other 79.4%
Other 54.2%

Homeownership rate

White British 29.2%
Mixed 21.6%
White Other 26%
Other 15.7%

Degree+ qualification rate

White British 51.3%
Mixed 54.2%
White Other 63.1%
Other 32.1%
Source

Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.

School ethnicity

DfE School Census 2024/25: 32,021 pupils. 18% White British. Schools are 15.9pp more diverse than the general population.

Pupil ethnicity

Black 31.1%
White Other 18.5%
White British 18%
Mixed 14%
Asian 11.7%
Other 6.7%

What this means

Schools are 16pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

82% Minority pupils now
80.9% Projected 2041
Source

DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.

Service demand impact

Projected impact of demographic change on local services.

Language services 19.9%

non-English speakers

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Housing pressure +35.6pp

foreign-born growth to 2051

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

EAL demand +15.9pp

EAL growth

Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.

National benchmarks

Supported asylum count

National distribution.

589
low median top 10% high
Supported asylum rate

Per 10,000 residents.

22.08
low median top 10% high
Contingency accommodation

Hotel and contingency placements.

534
low median top 10% high

Regional peers

Top 6 in London by supported asylum.

Hillingdon
2,133
Hounslow
1,720
Croydon
1,483
Barnet
1,393
Ealing
1,249
Hackney
This area | 589