London

Hammersmith and Fulham

364 on asylum support. Rank 100 nationally, 14 in London. Rate: 19.29 per 10,000 (75th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.

2025-12-31 London region 87.9% contingency

Summary

Hammersmith and Fulham has 364 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 100 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 19.29 per 10,000 residents places it around the 75th percentile. 320 are in contingency accommodation (87.9% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.

Supported asylum in Hammersmith and Fulham

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

364
456 304 152 0 Mar 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Sept 2023

Trend

-41 Latest quarter change
+340 Change across series
48 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 19
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 25
Contingency accommodation 320

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
364
Homes for Ukraine
933
Afghan programme
177
Resettlement cumulative
43

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 933
Afghan programme 177
Resettlement cumulative 43

Population context

All pathways total 1,474
Share of local population 0.78%

Hotel evidence

No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.

No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.

Ethnic composition projection

Hammersmith and Fulham: WBI 38.3% (2021) → 17.3% (2051). 80% CI: 11.6–17%.

Ethnic composition — Hammersmith and Fulham

0 12 25 37 50 % of population Census 2021 White British 17% White Other 26% Asian 10% Black 10% Mixed 10% Other 25% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 12.7% (2021) → 15.8% (2051). Christian 49.9% → 23.8%.

Religion — Hammersmith and Fulham

8 21 34 48 61 % Census 2021 Christian 24% No religion 56% Muslim 16% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim

Nativity

45.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.87). 78.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born — Hammersmith and Fulham

16 33 50 67 84 % Census 2021 UK-born 21% Foreign-born 79% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Why Hammersmith and Fulham is changing

-6.6pp
National trend
-6.6pp
Age structure
+2.9pp
Local migration
-3pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Economy & housing by ethnicity

Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.

Employment rate

White British 65.9%
Mixed 66.5%
White Other 77.2%
Other 58.8%

Homeownership rate

White British 37.5%
Mixed 22.3%
White Other 29.8%
Other 20.2%

Degree+ qualification rate

White British 55.6%
Mixed 50.2%
White Other 66%
Other 49.7%
Source

Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.

School ethnicity

DfE School Census 2024/25: 19,012 pupils. 23% White British. Schools are 15.3pp more diverse than the general population.

Pupil ethnicity

White British 23%
Black 21%
White Other 18.4%
Mixed 15.5%
Other 12.7%
Asian 9.5%

What this means

Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

77% Minority pupils now
79.7% Projected 2041
Source

DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.

Service demand impact

Projected impact of demographic change on local services.

Language services 21.4%

non-English speakers

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Housing pressure +33.9pp

foreign-born growth to 2051

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

EAL demand +15.3pp

EAL growth

Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.

National benchmarks

Supported asylum count

National distribution.

364
low median top 10% high
Supported asylum rate

Per 10,000 residents.

19.29
low median top 10% high
Contingency accommodation

Hotel and contingency placements.

320
low median top 10% high

Regional peers

Top 6 in London by supported asylum.

Hillingdon
2,133
Hounslow
1,720
Croydon
1,483
Barnet
1,393
Ealing
1,249
Hammersmith and Fulham
This area | 364