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Havering

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
186 people on asylum support in Havering

Rank 142 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 6.62 per 10,000 puts Havering in the 52nd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2033. 13 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 186 people at £107 per person per day is about £7.3M a year.

What asylum costs Havering

£4.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£476Ksubsistence payments/year
£223KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 186 people on asylum support in Havering(0.20% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Havering: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

178
3702471230Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20149
Jun 201426
Sept 201430
Dec 201433
Mar 201527
Jun 201525
Sept 201530
Dec 201557
Mar 201685
Jun 2016117
Sept 2016177
Dec 2016210
Mar 2017219
Jun 2017221
Sept 2017247
Dec 2017290
Mar 2018322
Jun 2018354
Sept 2018345
Dec 2018337
Mar 2019335
Jun 2019312
Sept 2019349
Dec 2019325
Mar 2020354
Jun 2020357
Sept 2020354
Dec 2020348
Mar 2021337
Jun 2021300
Sept 2021286
Dec 2021246
Mar 2022230
Jun 2022231
Sept 2022236
Dec 2022346
Mar 2023340
Jun 2023354
Sept 2023370
Dec 2023316
Mar 2024231
Jun 2024181
Sept 2024193
Dec 2024172
Mar 2025198
Jun 2025197
Sept 2025187
Dec 2025178

Trend

-9Latest quarter change
+169Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation173
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only13
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
186
Homes for Ukraine
1,137
Afghan programme
154
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,137
Afghan programme154
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total1,477
Share of local population0.53%

Ethnic composition projection

Havering: White British 66.5% (2021) to 24.8% (2051). White British minority by ~2033. 80% CI: 23.7, 27.5%.

Ethnic composition: Havering

022446688% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 15% in 2061White Other 15% in 2061Asian 29% in 2061Black 17% in 2061Mixed 16% in 2061Other 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Havering

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
83%
2021
67%
9%
11%
8%
2031proj
52%
12%
15%
11%
2041proj
38%
15%
20%
14%
9%
2051proj
25%
16%
25%
16%
12%
2061proj
15%
15%
29%
17%
16%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Havering ranges from43.0% to 50.4%by 2051. That is a 7.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 46.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 6.5% (2021) → 46.5% (2051). Christian 55.3% → 10.1%.

Religion: Havering

015304560%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 29% in 2051Muslim 47% in 2051Hindu 7% in 2051Sikh 6% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHinduSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

19.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.63). 90.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Havering

1432506886%Census 2021UK-born 47% in 2051Foreign-born 53% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Low foreign-born share with significant ethnic diversity suggests second/third-generation growth is the primary driver. Less sensitive to immigration policy changes.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.7% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
other13% internal, 2.3% international
white other13.6% internal, 1.6% international
asian13.5% internal, 1.5% international
black9.8% internal, 1% international
mixed9.4% internal, 0.6% international
white british5.5% internal, 0.2% international

Why Havering is changing

-16.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.3pp
Local migration
-10.2pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Havering on UK Demographics →