Trend
-358 Latest quarter change
+1,659 Change across series
48 Official data points
Hounslow
1,720 on asylum support. Rank 8 nationally, 2 in London. Rate: 57.44 per 10,000 (99th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Hounslow has 1,720 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 8 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 57.44 per 10,000 residents places it around the 99th percentile. 1,466 are in contingency accommodation (85.2% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Hounslow
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 190
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 64
Contingency accommodation 1,466
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 1,247
Afghan programme 230
Resettlement cumulative 37
Population context
All pathways total 3,197
Share of local population 1.07%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Hounslow: WBI 28.4% (2021) → 6.0% (2051). 80% CI: 5.4–6.9%.
Ethnic composition — Hounslow
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 17.7% (2021) → 26.7% (2051). Christian 40.7% → 27.7%.
Religion — Hounslow
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh
Nativity
49.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.85). 71.7% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Hounslow
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Hounslow is changing
-9.5ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 63.7%
Mixed 66%
White Other 78.7%
Other 57.3%
Homeownership rate
White British 51.8%
Mixed 37.7%
White Other 35.6%
Other 40.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 41.2%
Mixed 39.9%
White Other 45%
Other 38.5%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 44,717 pupils. 14.5% White British. Schools are 13.9pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Asian 39.5%
White British 14.5%
White Other 13.9%
Other 11.8%
Mixed 10.4%
Black 9.9%
What this means
Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
85.5% Minority pupils now
89.8% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
1,720 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
57.44 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
1,466 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in London by supported asylum.