Trend
-619 Latest quarter change
+24 Change across series
48 Official data points
Islington
47 on asylum support. Rank 229 nationally, 29 in London. Rate: 2.11 per 10,000 (30th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
2025-12-31 London region
Summary
Islington has 47 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 229 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 2.11 per 10,000 residents places it around the 30th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Islington
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 20
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 27
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 647
Afghan programme 537
Resettlement cumulative 158
Population context
All pathways total 1,231
Share of local population 0.55%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Islington: WBI 39.8% (2021) → 11.5% (2051). 80% CI: 9.7–14.1%.
Ethnic composition — Islington
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 12.9% (2021) → 12.8% (2051). Christian 37.6% → 12.0%.
Religion — Islington
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
39.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.87). 81% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Islington
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Islington is changing
-8ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 65.5%
Mixed 69.4%
White Other 77%
Other 58.7%
Homeownership rate
White British 30.9%
Mixed 21.1%
White Other 26.2%
Other 16.4%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 54.3%
Mixed 53.3%
White Other 67.1%
Other 43.6%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 22,766 pupils. 25.2% White British. Schools are 14.6pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 25.2%
Black 23.1%
Mixed 18.8%
White Other 16.2%
Asian 8.7%
Other 8%
What this means
Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
74.8% Minority pupils now
82.6% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
47 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
2.11 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.