Trend
-11 Latest quarter change
+535 Change across series
48 Official data points
Kingston upon Hull, City of
766 on asylum support. Rank 34 nationally, 4 in Yorkshire and The Humber. Rate: 27.81 per 10,000 (84th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
Summary
Kingston upon Hull, City of has 766 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 34 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 27.81 per 10,000 residents places it around the 84th percentile. 254 are in contingency accommodation (33.2% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Kingston upon Hull, City of
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 489
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 23
Contingency accommodation 254
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 325
Afghan programme 135
Resettlement cumulative 185
Population context
All pathways total 1,226
Share of local population 0.45%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Kingston upon Hull, City of: WBI 83.9% (2021) → 43.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2047. 80% CI: 41.4–49.3%.
Ethnic composition — Kingston upon Hull, City of
White British White Other Asian Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 3.7% (2021) → 8.9% (2051). Christian 42.5% → 8.9%.
Religion — Kingston upon Hull, City of
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
13.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.37). 90% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Kingston upon Hull, City of
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Kingston upon Hull, City of is changing
-5.8ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58.4%
Mixed 58.2%
White Other 79.2%
Other 50.7%
Homeownership rate
White British 51.2%
Mixed 32.8%
White Other 25.9%
Other 19.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 21.4%
Mixed 27.7%
White Other 24.3%
Other 26.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
766 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
27.81 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
254 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in Yorkshire and The Humber by supported asylum.