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London

Kingston upon Thames

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Karl Turner
Karl Turner Independent · Kingston upon Hull East

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Kingston upon Thames.

62 people on asylum support in Kingston upon Thames

Rank 220 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 3.59 per 10,000 puts Kingston upon Thames in the 37th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2025. 14 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 20 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 62 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.4M a year.

What asylum costs Kingston upon Thames

£1.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£159Ksubsistence payments/year
£74KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 62 people on asylum support in Kingston upon Thames (0.07% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Kingston upon Thames: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

69
165 110 55 0 Mar 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Mar 2023 Rwanda scheme Albania deal Bibby Stockholm Rwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014 32
Jun 2014 37
Sept 2014 44
Dec 2014 41
Mar 2015 41
Jun 2015 42
Sept 2015 40
Dec 2015 35
Mar 2016 34
Jun 2016 40
Sept 2016 40
Dec 2016 38
Mar 2017 38
Jun 2017 36
Sept 2017 40
Dec 2017 45
Mar 2018 52
Jun 2018 54
Sept 2018 45
Dec 2018 26
Mar 2019 29
Jun 2019 26
Sept 2019 21
Dec 2019 28
Mar 2020 20
Jun 2020 25
Sept 2020 32
Dec 2020 35
Mar 2021 39
Jun 2021 45
Sept 2021 44
Dec 2021 45
Mar 2022 44
Jun 2022 43
Sept 2022 40
Dec 2022 164
Mar 2023 165
Jun 2023 149
Sept 2023 152
Dec 2023 140
Mar 2024 139
Jun 2024 50
Sept 2024 63
Dec 2024 53
Mar 2025 73
Jun 2025 75
Sept 2025 73
Dec 2025 69

Trend

-4 Latest quarter change
+37 Change across series
48 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 28
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 14
Contingency accommodation 20

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
62
Homes for Ukraine
739
Afghan programme
99
Resettlement cumulative
57

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 739
Afghan programme 99
Resettlement cumulative 57

Population context

All pathways total 900
Share of local population 0.52%

Ethnic composition projection

Kingston upon Thames: White British 53.7% (2021) to 28.0% (2051). White British minority by ~2025. 80% CI: 26.8, 31.8%.

Ethnic composition: Kingston upon Thames

0 17 34 51 68 % of population Census 2021 Illustrative White British 21% in 2061 White Other 17% in 2061 Asian 19% in 2061 Black 3% in 2061 Mixed 18% in 2061 Other 23% in 2061 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Kingston upon Thames

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
63%
11%
16%
2021
54%
15%
18%
2031 proj
45%
17%
19%
9%
2041 proj
36%
18%
20%
10%
13%
2051 proj
28%
18%
20%
14%
17%
2061 proj
21%
17%
19%
18%
23%
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Kingston upon Thames ranges from 32.5% to 40.0% by 2051. That is a 7.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 35.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 8.6% (2021) → 14.5% (2051). Christian 45.9% → 16.8%.

Religion: Kingston upon Thames

0 17 33 50 66 % Census 2021 Christian 17% in 2051 No religion 61% in 2051 Muslim 15% in 2051 Hindu 5% in 2051 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

33.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.75). 82.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Kingston upon Thames

25 37 50 63 75 % Census 2021 UK-born 30% in 2051 Foreign-born 70% in 2051 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 10% moved within UK, 1.7% arrived from abroad
white other 13.8% internal, 3.2% international
black 13.7% internal, 2.3% international
asian 9.9% internal, 3.9% international
mixed 11.8% internal, 1.1% international
other 10.3% internal, 2.6% international
white british 8.6% internal, 0.5% international

Why Kingston upon Thames is changing

-9.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+1.3pp
Local migration
-4.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profile School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics. View Kingston upon Thames on UK Demographics →