Trend
+8 Latest quarter change
+317 Change across series
46 Official data points
Knowsley
320 on asylum support. Rank 110 nationally, 29 in North West. Rate: 19.68 per 10,000 (76th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
2025-12-31 North West region
Summary
Knowsley has 320 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 110 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 19.68 per 10,000 residents places it around the 76th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Knowsley
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 314
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 6
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 186
Afghan programme 20
Resettlement cumulative 96
Population context
All pathways total 526
Share of local population 0.32%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Knowsley: WBI 92.3% (2021) → 74.3% (2051). 80% CI: 72.5–77.9%.
Ethnic composition — Knowsley
White British White Other Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.8% (2051). Christian 70.0% → 11.8%.
Religion — Knowsley
Christian No religion
Nativity
5.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Knowsley
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Knowsley is changing
-3.7ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58.9%
Mixed 65.1%
White Other 76.2%
Other 57.4%
Homeownership rate
White British 60.8%
Mixed 49.7%
White Other 50.8%
Other 48.1%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 23.1%
Mixed 31.8%
White Other 40.6%
Other 37.2%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 21,576 pupils. 86.1% White British. Schools are 6.3pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 86.1%
White Other 4%
Mixed 3.3%
Asian 3%
Black 2.3%
Other 1.3%
What this means
Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
13.9% Minority pupils now
25.2% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
320 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
19.68 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.