Trend
-83 Latest quarter change
+372 Change across series
48 Official data points
Lambeth
428 on asylum support. Rank 84 nationally, 12 in London. Rate: 13.5 per 10,000 (64th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Lambeth has 428 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 84 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 13.5 per 10,000 residents places it around the 64th percentile. 369 are in contingency accommodation (86.2% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Lambeth
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 45
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 14
Contingency accommodation 369
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 973
Afghan programme 108
Resettlement cumulative 125
Population context
All pathways total 1,509
Share of local population 0.48%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Lambeth: WBI 37.6% (2021) → 7.1% (2051). 80% CI: 7.8–12.6%.
Ethnic composition — Lambeth
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 8.8% (2021) → 9.4% (2051). Christian 47.3% → 18.6%.
Religion — Lambeth
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
38.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.85). 82.2% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Lambeth
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Lambeth is changing
-1.4ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 71.7%
Mixed 73.8%
White Other 80.4%
Other 68.8%
Homeownership rate
White British 37.5%
Mixed 24.6%
White Other 32%
Other 18.9%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 57.8%
Mixed 49.2%
White Other 58.5%
Other 37.6%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 33,838 pupils. 16% White British. Schools are 21.6pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Black 38.7%
Mixed 17.1%
White British 16%
White Other 15.2%
Asian 6.5%
Other 6.4%
What this means
Schools are 22pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
84% Minority pupils now
86% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
428 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
13.5 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
369 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.