Trend
+57 Latest quarter change
+1,323 Change across series
48 Official data points
Leeds
1,772 on asylum support. Rank 6 nationally, 1 in Yorkshire and The Humber. Rate: 20.97 per 10,000 (78th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
Summary
Leeds has 1,772 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 6 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 20.97 per 10,000 residents places it around the 78th percentile. 483 are in contingency accommodation (27.3% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Leeds
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 1,226
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 63
Contingency accommodation 483
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 1,121
Afghan programme 639
Resettlement cumulative 406
Population context
All pathways total 3,532
Share of local population 0.42%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Leeds: WBI 73.4% (2021) → 35.6% (2051). White British minority by ~2041. 80% CI: 34–41.4%.
Ethnic composition — Leeds
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 8.3% (2021) → 14.0% (2051). Christian 44.9% → 11.3%.
Religion — Leeds
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
15.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.54). 90.9% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Leeds
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Leeds is changing
-7.8ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 60.3%
Mixed 64.7%
White Other 72.1%
Other 51.7%
Homeownership rate
White British 59.9%
Mixed 33.5%
White Other 38.1%
Other 31.9%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 33.8%
Mixed 36%
White Other 44.2%
Other 42.2%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 129,264 pupils. 58.9% White British. Schools are 14.5pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 58.9%
Asian 14.2%
Black 10.1%
Mixed 7.7%
White Other 6.4%
Other 2.8%
What this means
Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
41.1% Minority pupils now
54.4% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
1,772 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
20.97 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
483 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in Yorkshire and The Humber by supported asylum.