Trend
-169 Latest quarter change
+825 Change across series
48 Official data points
Liverpool
2,189 on asylum support. Rank 3 nationally, 1 in North West. Rate: 43.01 per 10,000 (95th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Liverpool has 2,189 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 3 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 43.01 per 10,000 residents places it around the 95th percentile. 415 are in contingency accommodation (19% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Liverpool
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 1,397
Initial accommodation 302
Subsistence only 75
Contingency accommodation 415
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 585
Afghan programme 206
Resettlement cumulative 175
Population context
All pathways total 2,980
Share of local population 0.59%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Liverpool: WBI 77.3% (2021) → 35.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2042. 80% CI: 33.3–42.5%.
Ethnic composition — Liverpool
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 5.6% (2021) → 11.8% (2051). Christian 60.8% → 15.6%.
Religion — Liverpool
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
14.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.49). 90.4% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Liverpool
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Liverpool is changing
-7.5ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 54.7%
Mixed 59.3%
White Other 72.8%
Other 44.1%
Homeownership rate
White British 50.4%
Mixed 29.7%
White Other 28.1%
Other 17.1%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 29.4%
Mixed 34.1%
White Other 45.8%
Other 34.5%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 76,858 pupils. 65.2% White British. Schools are 12.1pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 65.2%
Asian 7.8%
Black 7.8%
White Other 6.8%
Other 6.4%
Mixed 6.1%
What this means
Schools are 12pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
34.8% Minority pupils now
54.2% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
2,189 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
43.01 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
415 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in North West by supported asylum.