asylumstatsFollow the money
North West

Liverpool

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Maria Eagle
Maria EagleLabour · Liverpool Garston

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Liverpool.

1,961 people on asylum support in Liverpool

Rank 3 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 38.61 per 10,000 puts Liverpool in the 96th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2050. 92 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 208 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 1,961 people at £107 per person per day is about £76.6M a year.

What asylum costs Liverpool

£44.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£5.0Msubsistence payments/year
£2.4MLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1,961 people on asylum support in Liverpool(2.10% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Liverpool: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

2,189
2,7751,8509250Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2022Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141,364
Jun 20141,466
Sept 20141,418
Dec 20141,617
Mar 20151,577
Jun 20151,417
Sept 20151,513
Dec 20151,556
Mar 20161,555
Jun 20161,561
Sept 20161,520
Dec 20161,517
Mar 20171,512
Jun 20171,483
Sept 20171,468
Dec 20171,527
Mar 20181,787
Jun 20181,824
Sept 20181,735
Dec 20181,740
Mar 20191,784
Jun 20191,719
Sept 20191,652
Dec 20191,607
Mar 20201,565
Jun 20201,635
Sept 20201,659
Dec 20201,599
Mar 20211,442
Jun 20211,426
Sept 20211,452
Dec 20211,678
Mar 20221,500
Jun 20221,712
Sept 20221,748
Dec 20222,775
Mar 20232,728
Jun 20232,584
Sept 20232,706
Dec 20232,184
Mar 20242,066
Jun 20242,441
Sept 20242,612
Dec 20242,423
Mar 20252,385
Jun 20252,361
Sept 20252,358
Dec 20252,189

Trend

-169Latest quarter change
+825Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation1,390
Initial accommodation271
Subsistence only92
Contingency accommodation208

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1,961
Homes for Ukraine
617
Afghan programme
205
Resettlement cumulative
175

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine617
Afghan programme205
Resettlement cumulative175

Population context

All pathways total2,783
Share of local population0.55%

Ethnic composition projection

Liverpool: White British 77.3% (2021) to 49.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2050. 80% CI: 46.6, 54.3%.

Ethnic composition: Liverpool

022456790% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 38% in 2061White Other 13% in 2061Asian 12% in 2061Black 9% in 2061Mixed 9% in 2061Other 18% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Liverpool

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
85%
2021
77%
2031proj
70%
9%
2041proj
60%
11%
9%
8%
2051proj
49%
13%
11%
13%
2061proj
38%
13%
12%
9%
9%
18%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Liverpool ranges from59.6% to 65.3%by 2051. That is a 5.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 62.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 5.6% (2021) → 11.8% (2051). Christian 60.8% → 15.6%.

Religion: Liverpool

119385675%Census 2021Christian 16% in 2051No religion 70% in 2051Muslim 12% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

14.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.5). 90.4% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Liverpool

1030507090%Census 2021UK-born 55% in 2051Foreign-born 45% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 11.4% moved within UK, 1.5% arrived from abroad
white other18.2% internal, 6.5% international
asian13.6% internal, 7.8% international
other13.7% internal, 5.5% international
mixed13.9% internal, 2.1% international
black12.3% internal, 3.3% international
white british10.4% internal, 0.3% international

Why Liverpool is changing

-7.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.4pp
Local migration
-0.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Liverpool on UK Demographics →