Trend
-114 Latest quarter change
+769 Change across series
48 Official data points
Newham
1,140 on asylum support. Rank 23 nationally, 6 in London. Rate: 30.44 per 10,000 (87th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Newham has 1,140 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 23 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 30.44 per 10,000 residents places it around the 87th percentile. 772 are in contingency accommodation (67.7% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Newham
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 323
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 45
Contingency accommodation 772
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 966
Afghan programme 51
Resettlement cumulative 67
Population context
All pathways total 2,157
Share of local population 0.58%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Newham: WBI 14.8% (2021) → 6.1% (2051). 80% CI: 4.9–6.6%.
Ethnic composition — Newham
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 37.2% (2021) → 36.1% (2051). Christian 37.7% → 19.4%.
Religion — Newham
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu
Nativity
53.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.84). 65.4% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Newham
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Newham is changing
-2ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 61.1%
Mixed 69.6%
White Other 82.9%
Other 63.6%
Homeownership rate
White British 36.6%
Mixed 26.1%
White Other 21.4%
Other 27%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 39.8%
Mixed 40.8%
White Other 43.1%
Other 36.2%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 62,370 pupils. 5.1% White British. Schools are 9.7pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Asian 51.4%
Black 17.6%
White Other 12.3%
Mixed 8.4%
Other 5.1%
White British 5.1%
What this means
Schools are 10pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
94.9% Minority pupils now
92.3% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
1,140 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
30.44 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
772 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.