Trend
+24 Latest quarter change
+252 Change across series
11 Official data points
North Yorkshire
Kirsty Blackman
81 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping North Yorkshire.
352 people housed on asylum support in North Yorkshire
Rank 91 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 5.54 per 10,000 puts North Yorkshire in the 46th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 115 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £19M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs North Yorkshire
£6.9Mestimated hotel costs/year
£900Ksubsistence payments/year
£422KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 352 people on asylum support in North Yorkshire (0.33% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. 1 known hotel sites in this area. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
North Yorkshire: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 230
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 7
Contingency accommodation 115
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 1,701
Afghan programme 449
Resettlement cumulative 26
Population context
All pathways total 2,502
Share of local population 0.39%
Ethnic composition projection
North Yorkshire: WBI 93.3% (2021) → 76.0% (2051).
Ethnic composition: North Yorkshire
White British White Other Asian Mixed
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: North Yorkshire
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in North Yorkshire ranges from 78.5% to 86.2% by 2051. That is a 7.7pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 81.8% by 2051
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View North Yorkshire on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58.2%
Mixed 69.3%
White Other 75.8%
Other 70%
Homeownership rate
White British 70.5%
Mixed 54.8%
White Other 45.3%
Other 38.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 34.3%
Mixed 41.9%
White Other 43.2%
Other 37.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 79,816 pupils. 87.5% White British. Schools are 5.8pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 87.5%
White Other 4.1%
Mixed 3.2%
Asian 3%
Black 1.4%
Other 0.7%
What this means
Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population. Schools show the future.
12.5% Minority pupils now
22.9% Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
88% Primary WBI
86.9% Secondary WBI
Stable demographic pipeline.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
352 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
5.54 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
115 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in Yorkshire and The Humber by supported asylum.