Trend
-118 Latest quarter change
+337 Change across series
48 Official data points
Redbridge
511 on asylum support. Rank 67 nationally, 10 in London. Rate: 15.91 per 10,000 (70th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Redbridge has 511 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 67 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 15.91 per 10,000 residents places it around the 70th percentile. 129 are in contingency accommodation (25.2% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Redbridge
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 359
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 23
Contingency accommodation 129
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 964
Afghan programme 32
Resettlement cumulative 15
Population context
All pathways total 1,507
Share of local population 0.47%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Redbridge: WBI 23.2% (2021) → 3.1% (2051). 80% CI: 3–3.8%.
Ethnic composition — Redbridge
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 33.2% (2021) → 58.9% (2051). Christian 32.3% → 13.4%.
Religion — Redbridge
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh
Nativity
43.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.79). 73.6% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Redbridge
UK-born Foreign-born
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Redbridge is changing
-11.3ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 60.8%
Mixed 67.5%
White Other 76.9%
Other 60.9%
Homeownership rate
White British 62.4%
Mixed 45.1%
White Other 33.9%
Other 53.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 43%
Mixed 41.5%
White Other 40.4%
Other 39.8%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 56,672 pupils. 10.5% White British. Schools are 12.7pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Asian 58.7%
White Other 11.9%
White British 10.5%
Mixed 8.5%
Black 8.4%
Other 1.9%
What this means
Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
89.5% Minority pupils now
93.9% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
511 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
15.91 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
129 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.