Trend
-4 Latest quarter change
+68 Change across series
48 Official data points
Rotherham
445 on asylum support. Rank 79 nationally, 10 in Yorkshire and The Humber. Rate: 16.09 per 10,000 (70th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
2025-12-31 Yorkshire and The Humber region
Summary
Rotherham has 445 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 79 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 16.09 per 10,000 residents places it around the 70th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Rotherham
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 437
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 8
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 274
Afghan programme 59
Resettlement cumulative 48
Population context
All pathways total 778
Share of local population 0.28%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Rotherham: WBI 88.3% (2021) → 62.0% (2051). White British minority by ~2059. 80% CI: 57.6–63.7%.
Ethnic composition — Rotherham
White British White Other Asian Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 5.3% (2021) → 4.9% (2051). Christian 51.6% → 7.6%.
Religion — Rotherham
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
6.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.29). 95.9% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Rotherham
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Rotherham is changing
-3.6ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.5%
Mixed 67.5%
White Other 69.2%
Other 49.1%
Homeownership rate
White British 65.2%
Mixed 46.6%
White Other 38.5%
Other 30.4%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 22.9%
Mixed 28.9%
White Other 29%
Other 26.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 44,901 pupils. 76.8% White British. Schools are 11.5pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 76.8%
Asian 9%
White Other 5.4%
Mixed 4%
Black 3.6%
Other 1.3%
What this means
Schools are 11pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
23.2% Minority pupils now
33.2% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
445 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
16.09 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in Yorkshire and The Humber by supported asylum.