Trend
+24 Latest quarter change
+666 Change across series
48 Official data points
St Helens
668 on asylum support. Rank 50 nationally, 11 in North West. Rate: 35.37 per 10,000 (92nd percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
St Helens has 668 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 50 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 35.37 per 10,000 residents places it around the 92nd percentile. 86 are in contingency accommodation (12.9% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in St Helens
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 579
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 86
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 145
Afghan programme 47
Resettlement cumulative 127
Population context
All pathways total 860
Share of local population 0.46%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
St Helens: WBI 93.6% (2021) → 77.2% (2051). 80% CI: 75.5–79.9%.
Ethnic composition — St Helens
White British White Other Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 2.0% (2051). Christian 65.4% → 9.0%.
Religion — St Helens
Christian No religion
Nativity
5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.18). 97.2% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — St Helens
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why St Helens is changing
-3ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.3%
Mixed 69.1%
White Other 76.2%
Other 56.2%
Homeownership rate
White British 65.8%
Mixed 49.8%
White Other 47.3%
Other 36.7%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 26.7%
Mixed 37.8%
White Other 39.2%
Other 35.7%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 26,891 pupils. 88.1% White British. Schools are 5.5pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 88.1%
White Other 3.6%
Mixed 2.7%
Asian 2.5%
Black 2.2%
Other 1%
What this means
Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
11.9% Minority pupils now
23.4% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
668 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
35.37 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
86 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.