Trend
-121 Latest quarter change
+736 Change across series
48 Official data points
Stockport
834 on asylum support. Rank 28 nationally, 5 in North West. Rate: 27.44 per 10,000 (84th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Stockport has 834 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 28 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 27.44 per 10,000 residents places it around the 84th percentile. 668 are in contingency accommodation (80.1% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Stockport
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 155
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 11
Contingency accommodation 668
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 456
Afghan programme 27
Resettlement cumulative 26
Population context
All pathways total 1,317
Share of local population 0.43%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Stockport: WBI 83.4% (2021) → 47.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2049. 80% CI: 50–55.8%.
Ethnic composition — Stockport
White British White Other Asian Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 5.8% (2021) → 12.4% (2051). Christian 50.1% → 9.8%.
Religion — Stockport
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
9.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.38). 95.7% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Stockport
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Stockport is changing
-5.6ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 60.8%
Mixed 71.9%
White Other 68%
Other 61.2%
Homeownership rate
White British 73.2%
Mixed 52.1%
White Other 65.2%
Other 50.1%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 36.6%
Mixed 43.7%
White Other 50.2%
Other 51.8%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 42,870 pupils. 74.9% White British. Schools are 8.5pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 74.9%
Asian 11.4%
Mixed 6.6%
White Other 3.3%
Black 2.2%
Other 1.6%
What this means
Schools are 9pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
25.1% Minority pupils now
42.7% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
834 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
27.44 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
668 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in North West by supported asylum.