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Sutton

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Luke Pollard
Luke PollardLabour (Co-op) · Plymouth Sutton and Devonport

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Sutton.

28 people on asylum support in Sutton

Rank 260 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.31 per 10,000 puts Sutton in the 21st percentile. That means fewer than most areas. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2027. 11 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 28 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.1M a year.

What asylum costs Sutton

£632Kestimated hotel costs/year
£72Ksubsistence payments/year
£34KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 28 people on asylum support in Sutton(0.03% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Sutton: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

27
3523120Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2022Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 201413
Jun 201417
Sept 201413
Dec 201410
Mar 201510
Jun 201512
Sept 201510
Dec 201511
Mar 201613
Jun 201611
Sept 201613
Dec 201613
Mar 201712
Jun 201717
Sept 201715
Dec 201716
Mar 201816
Jun 201817
Sept 201816
Dec 201815
Mar 201914
Jun 20199
Sept 201914
Dec 201913
Mar 202016
Jun 202019
Sept 202023
Dec 202026
Mar 202127
Jun 202127
Sept 202124
Dec 202124
Mar 202231
Jun 202235
Sept 202233
Dec 202232
Mar 202333
Jun 202327
Sept 202322
Dec 202310
Mar 202411
Jun 20247
Sept 20248
Dec 202414
Mar 202524
Jun 202522
Sept 202528
Dec 202527

Trend

-1Latest quarter change
+14Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation17
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only11
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
28
Homes for Ukraine
703
Afghan programme
83
Resettlement cumulative
10

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine703
Afghan programme83
Resettlement cumulative10

Population context

All pathways total814
Share of local population0.38%

Ethnic composition projection

Sutton: White British 57.3% (2021) to 24.2% (2051). White British minority by ~2027. 80% CI: 23, 27%.

Ethnic composition: Sutton

019385776% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 16% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 37% in 2061Black 7% in 2061Mixed 14% in 2061Other 13% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Sutton

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
71%
12%
2021
57%
11%
18%
2031proj
46%
13%
22%
2041proj
35%
14%
27%
9%
2051proj
24%
15%
32%
11%
10%
2061proj
16%
14%
37%
14%
13%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Sutton ranges from36.0% to 43.2%by 2051. That is a 7.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 38.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 7.5% (2021) → 21.7% (2051). Christian 48.7% → 13.2%.

Religion: Sutton

215284154%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 44% in 2051Muslim 22% in 2051Hindu 19% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

27.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.72). 85.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Sutton

2336506477%Census 2021UK-born 36% in 2051Foreign-born 64% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.9% moved within UK, 0.8% arrived from abroad
white other11.2% internal, 1.5% international
other10.8% internal, 1.8% international
asian10.4% internal, 2.1% international
mixed9.4% internal, 0.7% international
black8.7% internal, 1% international
white british6% internal, 0.2% international

Why Sutton is changing

-13.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+0.7pp
Local migration
-8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Sutton on UK Demographics →