Trend
-7 Latest quarter change
+312 Change across series
48 Official data points
Tameside
508 on asylum support. Rank 69 nationally, 16 in North West. Rate: 21.2 per 10,000 (78th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
2025-12-31 North West region
Summary
Tameside has 508 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 69 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 21.2 per 10,000 residents places it around the 78th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Tameside
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 505
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 309
Afghan programme 38
Resettlement cumulative 13
Population context
All pathways total 855
Share of local population 0.36%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Tameside: WBI 82.4% (2021) → 58.0% (2051). White British minority by ~2058. 80% CI: 51.3–57.4%.
Ethnic composition — Tameside
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 7.7% (2021) → 15.4% (2051). Christian 50.2% → 9.3%.
Religion — Tameside
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
10.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.39). 94.1% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Tameside
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Tameside is changing
-6.2ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 60.1%
Mixed 70.1%
White Other 70%
Other 56.8%
Homeownership rate
White British 62%
Mixed 48.7%
White Other 48.6%
Other 29.6%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 23.9%
Mixed 33.7%
White Other 33.7%
Other 32.4%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 36,967 pupils. 70.6% White British. Schools are 11.8pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 70.6%
Asian 13.9%
Mixed 6.6%
Black 4.5%
White Other 2.9%
Other 1.4%
What this means
Schools are 12pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
29.4% Minority pupils now
38.9% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
508 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
21.2 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.