Trend
+33 Latest quarter change
+786 Change across series
48 Official data points
Wirral
789 on asylum support. Rank 33 nationally, 7 in North West. Rate: 23.99 per 10,000 (83rd percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Wirral has 789 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 33 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 23.99 per 10,000 residents places it around the 83rd percentile. 91 are in contingency accommodation (11.5% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Wirral
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 693
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 5
Contingency accommodation 91
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 555
Afghan programme 60
Resettlement cumulative 155
Population context
All pathways total 1,404
Share of local population 0.43%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Wirral: WBI 92.4% (2021) → 80.5% (2051). 80% CI: 74.7–79%.
Ethnic composition — Wirral
White British White Other Asian Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 1.1% (2021) → 2.5% (2051). Christian 58.1% → 11.1%.
Religion — Wirral
Christian No religion
Nativity
5.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97.7% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Wirral
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Wirral is changing
-2.5ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 55.7%
Mixed 64.4%
White Other 66.1%
Other 59.5%
Homeownership rate
White British 66.1%
Mixed 54.9%
White Other 56.1%
Other 40.7%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 30.8%
Mixed 38.7%
White Other 47.5%
Other 41%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 48,714 pupils. 86.4% White British. Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 86.4%
Asian 4.8%
Mixed 3.8%
White Other 2.6%
Black 1.4%
Other 1%
What this means
Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
13.6% Minority pupils now
22.9% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
789 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
23.99 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
91 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.