Quarter-end stock, not throughput
Supported asylum counts show how many people were receiving support at the end of the period. They are not new claims, arrivals, or the number of distinct people seen across the period.
Warwick
Official local-authority snapshot as at 2025-12-31. This page keeps live route data and local hotel evidence on one place-level surface so pressure can be read in context. Supported asylum here means people on support at that quarter end, not the number of different people whose claims were processed locally, and not a one-word substitute for the backlog.
England Population 154,889 Supported asylum 435
How to read the asylum numbers here
A flat or slowly moving local line does not prove the same people stayed on support, and it does not prove claims were not being processed. It only shows the quarter-end stock that remained on support, which overlaps with but is not identical to the awaiting-decision backlog.
Support is not the same thing as the backlog
People awaiting an initial decision and people on asylum support overlap, but they are not identical groups. Some supported people are further into appeals or on other support routes, while some people awaiting an initial decision are not in the published support count.
Processing and exits move the stock
The stock changes when people enter support and when they leave it through case progression, including grants, refusals, withdrawals, departures, or moves out of the published support categories.
Flat local lines can still hide churn
A place hovering around the same level can mean low movement, or heavy turnover with inflows offset by exits. The published local tables do not show how many different people passed through support in that area.
Quarter-end supported asylum stock in Warwick
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Trend readout Dec 2025
Recent path and evidence quality
-39 since Sept 2025
-8.2% net change in quarter-end stock by the latest step.
+ 433 across the visible series
+21650% change in quarter-end stock from the first visible point to Dec 2025.
39 official quarter points
The visible trend line is built entirely from official quarter-end supported asylum values in the local area series.
Interactive place drill-down
Switch metric and comparison frame to read Warwick as a pressure leader, rate outlier, contingency site, or three-pathway case without leaving the page.
Warwick ranks 10 of 30 in West Midlands; Birmingham currently leads this regional measure.
Supported asylum West Midlands
Quarter-end asylum-support stock for this local authority, not the number of distinct people who passed through support.
Warwick ranks 10 of 30 in West Midlands; Birmingham currently leads this regional measure.
Supported asylum United Kingdom
Quarter-end asylum-support stock for this local authority, not the number of distinct people who passed through support.
Warwick ranks 81 of 361 nationally on supported asylum.
Supported asylum rate West Midlands
Rate per 10,000 residents, which shows local intensity more cleanly than raw volume alone.
Warwick ranks 7 of 30 in West Midlands; Stoke-on-Trent currently leads this regional measure.
Supported asylum rate United Kingdom
Rate per 10,000 residents, which shows local intensity more cleanly than raw volume alone.
Warwick ranks 54 of 361 nationally on supported asylum rate.
Contingency accommodation West Midlands
Hotel and contingency placements recorded in the latest quarter-end local-authority snapshot.
Warwick ranks 3 of 30 in West Midlands; Birmingham currently leads this regional measure.
Contingency accommodation United Kingdom
Hotel and contingency placements recorded in the latest quarter-end local-authority snapshot.
Warwick ranks 25 of 361 nationally on contingency accommodation.
Three-pathway total West Midlands
Combined supported asylum, Homes for Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population.
Warwick ranks 10 of 30 in West Midlands; Birmingham currently leads this regional measure.
Three-pathway total United Kingdom
Combined supported asylum, Homes for Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population.
Warwick ranks 96 of 361 nationally on three-pathway total.
Pathway breakdown
The local picture only becomes legible when supported asylum, contingency use, Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population are kept distinct.
What stands out here
Warwick is carrying a real asylum-support load
435 people are on asylum support here at quarter end, with a rate of 28.08 per 10,000 residents. 363 are in contingency accommodation.
1,016 people across the main local pathways
This combines supported asylum, Homes for Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population, representing 0.66% of the local population.
Public hotel evidence is still thin here
No named current hotel site is attached to this area in the starter ledger yet.
National benchmarks
These strips show where Warwick sits in the national distribution for the most important place-level pressure measures.
Supported asylum count
435 National distribution across all local-authority rows.
Supported asylum rate
28.08 Rate per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
363 Hotel and other contingency placements.
Regional pressure context
West Midlands is highlighted so this place can be read inside the wider regional supported asylum map.
Editorial readout
These cards translate the data into the most defensible local claims the site can make right now.
Volume
Warwick is outside the top ten by volume, but still carries a material local load
Warwick ranks 81 nationally and 10 in West Midlands for supported asylum count, placing it around the 78th percentile of local authorities by volume.
Intensity
The rate picture is important, even where the headline count is lower
The supported asylum rate here is 28.08 per 10,000 residents, around the 85th percentile nationally. This matters because smaller places can carry a sharper load than bigger city totals imply.
Accommodation model
A large share of support is sitting in contingency accommodation
363 people are in contingency accommodation here, around 83.4% of the supported asylum population and roughly the 93th percentile by contingency count.
Visibility
The hotel layer is still mostly invisible in public records here
No named current site or unnamed acknowledged count is attached to this area yet, which is itself a reminder that absence of public evidence is not evidence of absence.
Local route metrics
The area profile should show route composition, not force users to infer it from a single asylum count.
Asylum support
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 71
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 1
Contingency accommodation 363
Ukraine and Afghan pathways
Other current routes in this place
Homes for Ukraine arrivals 474
Afghan programme population 107
Afghan local authority housing 106
Afghan private rented housing 1
Historical routes
Resettlement history
Resettlement cumulative total 37
UK resettlement and family reunion cumulative 37
Community sponsorship cumulative 5
Latest resettlement quarter 2025 Q2 (4)
Regional peer frame
The regional ranking matters because high-pressure areas compete for attention with their nearest peers, not just with the national top ten.
Local reading West Midlands
How this place reads in context
Warwick sits 81 nationally by supported asylum count and 10 within West Midlands. The raw volume is 435, but the rate of 28.08 per 10,000 residents gives a cleaner sense of local intensity than the headline count on its own.
Homes for Ukraine is the largest non-asylum pathway in this area at 474. That matters because the local story is not just about one route family; it is about how asylum support, humanitarian schemes, and historic resettlement stack together in one place.
West Midlands as a whole currently carries 13,499 people on supported asylum, with a weighted regional rate of 21.82 per 10,000 residents. This page puts Warwick inside that wider regional pressure field instead of treating it as an isolated case.
Hotel evidence for this place
Place pages should merge live route data with the named and unnamed hotel evidence already on the public record.
Evidence gap
No public hotel evidence logged yet
That does not mean the area has no hotel use. It means the ledger has no publishable public evidence row attached yet.