Quarter-end stock, not throughput
Supported asylum counts show how many people were receiving support at the end of the period. They are not new claims, arrivals, or the number of distinct people seen across the period.
Manchester
Official local-authority snapshot as at 2025-12-31. This page keeps live route data and local hotel evidence on one place-level surface so pressure can be read in context. Supported asylum here means people on support at that quarter end, not the number of different people whose claims were processed locally.
England Population 589,670 Supported asylum 1,846
How to read the asylum numbers here
A flat or slowly moving local line does not prove the same people stayed on support, and it does not prove claims were not being processed. It only shows the quarter-end stock that remained on support.
Processing and exits move the stock
The stock changes when people enter support and when they leave it through case progression, including grants, refusals, withdrawals, departures, or moves out of the published support categories.
Flat local lines can still hide churn
A place hovering around the same level can mean low movement, or heavy turnover with inflows offset by exits. The published local tables do not show how many different people passed through support in that area.
Quarter-end supported asylum stock in Manchester
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload.
Trend readout Dec 2025
Recent path and evidence quality
-262 since Sept 2025
-12.4% net change in quarter-end stock by the latest step.
+ 1,070 across the visible series
+137.9% change in quarter-end stock from the first visible point to Dec 2025.
48 official quarter points
The visible trend line is built entirely from official quarter-end supported asylum values in the local area series.
Interactive place drill-down
Switch metric and comparison frame to read Manchester as a pressure leader, rate outlier, contingency site, or three-pathway case without leaving the page.
Manchester ranks 2 of 35 in North West; Liverpool currently leads this regional measure.
Supported asylum North West
Quarter-end asylum-support stock for this local authority, not the number of distinct people who passed through support.
Manchester ranks 2 of 35 in North West; Liverpool currently leads this regional measure.
Supported asylum United Kingdom
Quarter-end asylum-support stock for this local authority, not the number of distinct people who passed through support.
Manchester is in the national top ten on supported asylum, ranking 5 of 361.
Supported asylum rate North West
Rate per 10,000 residents, which shows local intensity more cleanly than raw volume alone.
Manchester ranks 15 of 35 in North West; Hyndburn currently leads this regional measure.
Supported asylum rate United Kingdom
Rate per 10,000 residents, which shows local intensity more cleanly than raw volume alone.
Manchester ranks 45 of 361 nationally on supported asylum rate.
Contingency accommodation North West
Hotel and contingency placements recorded in the latest quarter-end local-authority snapshot.
Manchester currently leads North West on contingency accommodation.
Contingency accommodation United Kingdom
Hotel and contingency placements recorded in the latest quarter-end local-authority snapshot.
Manchester is in the national top ten on contingency accommodation, ranking 6 of 361.
Three-pathway total North West
Combined supported asylum, Homes for Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population.
Manchester currently leads North West on three-pathway total.
Three-pathway total United Kingdom
Combined supported asylum, Homes for Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population.
Manchester is in the national top ten on three-pathway total, ranking 5 of 361.
Pathway breakdown
The local picture only becomes legible when supported asylum, contingency use, Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population are kept distinct.
What stands out here
Manchester is carrying a real asylum-support load
1,846 people are on asylum support here at quarter end, with a rate of 31.31 per 10,000 residents. 979 are in contingency accommodation.
3,296 people across the main local pathways
This combines supported asylum, Homes for Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population, representing 0.56% of the local population.
Public hotel evidence is still thin here
No named current hotel site is attached to this area in the starter ledger yet.
National benchmarks
These strips show where Manchester sits in the national distribution for the most important place-level pressure measures.
Supported asylum count
1,846 National distribution across all local-authority rows.
Supported asylum rate
31.31 Rate per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
979 Hotel and other contingency placements.
Regional pressure context
North West is highlighted so this place can be read inside the wider regional supported asylum map.
Editorial readout
These cards translate the data into the most defensible local claims the site can make right now.
Volume
Manchester is one of the highest-volume asylum support areas in the UK
Manchester ranks 5 nationally and 2 in North West for supported asylum count, placing it around the 99th percentile of local authorities by volume.
Intensity
The rate picture is important, even where the headline count is lower
The supported asylum rate here is 31.31 per 10,000 residents, around the 88th percentile nationally. This matters because smaller places can carry a sharper load than bigger city totals imply.
Accommodation model
A large share of support is sitting in contingency accommodation
979 people are in contingency accommodation here, around 53% of the supported asylum population and roughly the 99th percentile by contingency count.
Visibility
The hotel layer is still mostly invisible in public records here
No named current site or unnamed acknowledged count is attached to this area yet, which is itself a reminder that absence of public evidence is not evidence of absence.
Local route metrics
The area profile should show route composition, not force users to infer it from a single asylum count.
Asylum support
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 763
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 104
Contingency accommodation 979
Ukraine and Afghan pathways
Other current routes in this place
Homes for Ukraine arrivals 1,033
Afghan programme population 417
Afghan local authority housing 226
Afghan private rented housing 191
Historical routes
Resettlement history
Resettlement cumulative total 13
UK resettlement and family reunion cumulative 13
Community sponsorship cumulative 6
Latest resettlement quarter 2025 Q4 (2)
Regional peer frame
The regional ranking matters because high-pressure areas compete for attention with their nearest peers, not just with the national top ten.
Local reading North West
How this place reads in context
Manchester sits 5 nationally by supported asylum count and 2 within North West. The raw volume is 1,846, but the rate of 31.31 per 10,000 residents gives a cleaner sense of local intensity than the headline count on its own.
Homes for Ukraine is the largest non-asylum pathway in this area at 1,033. That matters because the local story is not just about one route family; it is about how asylum support, humanitarian schemes, and historic resettlement stack together in one place.
North West as a whole currently carries 20,864 people on supported asylum, with a weighted regional rate of 26.97 per 10,000 residents. This page puts Manchester inside that wider regional pressure field instead of treating it as an isolated case.
Hotel evidence for this place
Place pages should merge live route data with the named and unnamed hotel evidence already on the public record.
Evidence gap
No public hotel evidence logged yet
That does not mean the area has no hotel use. It means the ledger has no publishable public evidence row attached yet.