Official local-authority snapshot as at 2025-12-31. This page keeps live route data and local hotel evidence on one place-level surface so pressure can be read in context.
Quarter-end place series to Dec 2025. All visible points are official quarter-end values.
-14.1% by the latest quarter-on-quarter step.
+546% from the first visible point to Dec 2025.
The visible trend line is built entirely from official quarter-end supported asylum values in the local area series.
Switch metric and comparison frame to read Trafford as a pressure leader, rate outlier, contingency site, or three-pathway case without leaving the page.
Trafford ranks 25 of 35 in North West; Liverpool currently leads this regional measure.
Trafford ranks 87 of 361 nationally on supported asylum.
Trafford ranks 30 of 35 in North West; Hyndburn currently leads this regional measure.
Trafford ranks 102 of 361 nationally on supported asylum rate.
Trafford ranks 5 of 35 in North West; Manchester currently leads this regional measure.
Trafford ranks 33 of 361 nationally on contingency accommodation.
Trafford ranks 16 of 35 in North West; Manchester currently leads this regional measure.
Trafford ranks 114 of 361 nationally on three-pathway total.
The local picture only becomes legible when supported asylum, contingency use, Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population are kept distinct.
407 people are on asylum support here, with a rate of 16.89 per 10,000 residents. 323 are in contingency accommodation.
This combines supported asylum, Homes for Ukraine arrivals, and Afghan programme population, representing 0.37% of the local population.
No named current hotel site is attached to this area in the starter ledger yet.
These strips show where Trafford sits in the national distribution for the most important place-level pressure measures.
National distribution across all local-authority rows.
Rate per 10,000 residents.
Hotel and other contingency placements.
North West is highlighted so this place can be read inside the wider regional supported asylum map.
These cards translate the data into the most defensible local claims the site can make right now.
Trafford ranks 87 nationally and 25 in North West for supported asylum count, placing it around the 76th percentile of local authorities by volume.
The supported asylum rate here is 16.89 per 10,000 residents, around the 72th percentile nationally. This matters because smaller places can carry a sharper load than bigger city totals imply.
323 people are in contingency accommodation here, around 79.4% of the supported asylum population and roughly the 91th percentile by contingency count.
No named current site or unnamed acknowledged count is attached to this area yet, which is itself a reminder that absence of public evidence is not evidence of absence.
The area profile should show route composition, not force users to infer it from a single asylum count.
The regional ranking matters because high-pressure areas compete for attention with their nearest peers, not just with the national top ten.
Trafford sits 87 nationally by supported asylum count and 25 within North West. The raw volume is 407, but the rate of 16.89 per 10,000 residents gives a cleaner sense of local intensity than the headline count on its own.
Homes for Ukraine is the largest non-asylum pathway in this area at 427. That matters because the local story is not just about one route family; it is about how asylum support, humanitarian schemes, and historic resettlement stack together in one place.
North West as a whole currently carries 20,864 people on supported asylum, with a weighted regional rate of 26.97 per 10,000 residents. This page puts Trafford inside that wider regional pressure field instead of treating it as an isolated case.
Place pages should merge live route data with the named and unnamed hotel evidence already on the public record.
That does not mean the area has no hotel use. It means the ledger has no publishable public evidence row attached yet.